Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca

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Nov 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Miguel Tobon 82.5%
Leonardo Storck Franca 17.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,450% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,050%, while Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca (8,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 2 Winner (5,000%), Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca8450.0%—8450¢-8350¢
2Completed Match5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
3Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
14Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Match O/U 21.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
15Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Match O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Leonardo Storck Franca in the Costa do Sauipe, Brazil, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 1:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Leonardo Storck Franca.

This market will resolve to 'Leonardo Storck Franca' if Leonardo Storck Franca advances against Miguel Tobon.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca"?

As of the latest update, Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,450% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,050% and Costa do Sauipe: Miguel Tobon vs Leonardo Storck Franca Set 1 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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