Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

$451.8K Vol
Nov 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Rafael Jodar 95.3%
Alejandro Tabilo 4.3%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $451.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 8.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-4.5 (9,995%), Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar (5%), and Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 8.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%$18.6K9995¢-9895¢
4Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Game Spread +/-4.59995.0%$14.5K9995¢-9895¢
5Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar5.0%$416.4K5¢95¢
6Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 Winner5.0%$375¢95¢
7Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%$355¢95¢
8Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 9.55.0%—5¢95¢
9Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢
10Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 21.55.0%$5265¢95¢
11Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 22.55.0%$505¢95¢
12Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Match O/U 23.55.0%$245¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Rafael Jodar.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alejandro Tabilo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:29 PM
    0X0x59aA284D93b8E9935d998932789e5e28C5F23376-1770305278054
    $50.82

    Bought 61.228911 Rafael Jodar for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.83

  • 12:29 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $542.86

    Bought 2857.14 Alejandro Tabilo for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.19

  • 12:28 PM
    0X0x7D85D4a8a25C9018Eb247a065c7175c3D69fDEf1-1770788579759
    $54.66

    Sold 66.66 Rafael Jodar for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.82

  • 12:28 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $323.81

    Bought 1904.76 Alejandro Tabilo for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.17

  • 12:28 PM
    WHwhosay
    $170.00

    Bought 1000 Alejandro Tabilo for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.17

  • 12:28 PM
    SIsixfeetfour4
    $10.00

    Bought 11.904762 Rafael Jodar for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.84

  • 12:28 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $9.42

    Bought 55.411765 Alejandro Tabilo for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.17

  • 12:28 PM
    YUYuliaKyiv
    $60.20

    Bought 71.666662 Rafael Jodar for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.84

  • 12:27 PM
    RUrugmoney
    $53.16

    Bought 65.63 Rafael Jodar for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.81

  • 12:27 PM
    0X0x7daa084C1ba541AFA4A671d9a2E3e97E6943c2d9-1768923278294
    $5.00

    Bought 6.25 Rafael Jodar for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.8

  • 12:27 PM
    0X0x1E3bB7DEf89B002D45FD86D37F35918c2618e232-1747406253166
    $1.06

    Bought 5.05 Alejandro Tabilo for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.21

  • 12:27 PM
    THthestingsnake
    $3.84

    Bought 20.2 Alejandro Tabilo for Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar at 0.19

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

991
999585
Event PnL
-$3,358.65
Volume
$45,000.00
Positions
Rafael Jodar
FA2
fastball67
Event PnL
-$99.21
Volume
$36,743.93
Positions
Alejandro TabiloAlejandro TabiloAlejandro Tabilo
2C3
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$2,145.91
Volume
$28,612.19
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
704
0x7091…9816
Event PnL
-$87.83
Volume
$17,566.26
Positions
Rafael Jodar
9E5
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
+$255.51
Volume
$9,129.93
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
PH6
phredmoz
Event PnL
-$105.51
Volume
$7,034.53
Positions
Rafael Jodar
RI7
RichSK
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$5,815.62
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
BE8
bestevertodoit
Event PnL
+$67.25
Volume
$5,206.09
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 9,995% and Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $451.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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