
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $35.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $32.8K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
- US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner (5,000%), US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (5,000%), and US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 36.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti | 5000.0% | $32.8K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner | 5000.0% | $31 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 5000.0% | $2.0K | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | $6 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 5000.0% | $17 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 5000.0% | $793 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 3 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 38.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 4 Winner | 5000.0% | $250 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Match O/U 40.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Game Spread +/-8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Dane Sweeny and Lorenzo Musetti in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Dane Sweeny' if Dane Sweeny advances against Lorenzo Musetti.
This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Dane Sweeny.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 3, 2026
- 09:15 AM0X0x10605aeCcAD69024c393479e8fCffe8a96bc3f00-1772350147059$1.00
Bought 14.285713 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.07
- 09:15 AM0X0x10605aeCcAD69024c393479e8fCffe8a96bc3f00-1772350147059$1.00
Bought 14.285713 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.07
- 09:00 AMSWsweeers$4.00
Bought 4.255316 Lorenzo Musetti for US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.94
- 08:09 AM0X0x10605aeCcAD69024c393479e8fCffe8a96bc3f00-1772350147059$1.00
Bought 14.285713 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.07
- 08:03 AMLILilybaeum$3.18
Bought 53 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.06
- 08:03 AMLILilybaeum$6.30
Bought 105 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.06
- 08:03 AMLILilybaeum$9.90
Bought 165 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.06
- 06:58 AMMAMax-Platon$20.00
Bought 29.418234 Under 3.5 for Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.68
- 06:33 AMJUjustadataguy$18.18
Bought 27.13 Musetti for Set Handicap: Musetti (-2.5) vs Sweeny (+2.5) at 0.67
- 06:24 AMBObojan18s$221.35
Bought 233 Lorenzo Musetti for US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.95
- 06:24 AM0X0xaE457d6d83362588DD2B8E23B2c8c359212396B9-1770832003765$1.25
Bought 1.9 Under 3.5 for Dane Sweeny vs. Lorenzo Musetti: Total Sets O/U 3.5 at 0.66
- 04:47 AMNInigiri99$4.56
Bought 76 Dane Sweeny for US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti at 0.06
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti"?
As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti Set 1 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $35.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
