Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova

$226.8K Vol
Sep 29, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Fajing Sun 76.0%
Matthew Dellavedova 24.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Match O/U 23.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Game Spread +/-2.5 follows in second place at 7,350%, while Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova sits in third with 7,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $226.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Match O/U 23.5 (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Match O/U 23.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $225 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Game Spread +/-2.5 (7,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Game Spread +/-2.5 maintains a 7,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,350¢.
  • Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova (7,250%): Sitting in third place with a 7,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Completed Match (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Match O/U 23.59950.0%$2259950¢-9850¢
2Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Game Spread +/-2.57350.0%$1317350¢-7250¢
3Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova7250.0%$224.8K7250¢-7150¢
4Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Fajing Sun and Matthew Dellavedova in the Hangzhou Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Matthew Dellavedova.

This market will resolve to 'Matthew Dellavedova' if Matthew Dellavedova advances against Fajing Sun.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RA1
RanaAmariPredicts
Event PnL
-$6.72
Volume
$13,921.24
Positions
Fajing Sun
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$39.35
Volume
$2,419.41
Positions
Matthew DellavedovaUnder 2.5Matthew Dellavedova
KN3
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Matthew Dellavedova
GC4
GC-P
Event PnL
+$17.89
Volume
$1,789.20
Positions
Matthew Dellavedova
NM5
NM-P
Event PnL
+$16.19
Volume
$1,593.32
Positions
Matthew Dellavedova
996
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$24.26
Volume
$1,496.97
Positions
Matthew Dellavedova
387
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$15.98
Volume
$1,170.08
Positions
Matthew Dellavedova
PO8
Po1yamory
Event PnL
-$4.32
Volume
$931.16
Positions
Matthew DellavedovaUnder 2.5Matthew Dellavedova+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova"?

As of the latest update, Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Match O/U 23.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova Game Spread +/-2.5 at 7,350% and Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova at 7,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $226.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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