
Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Hunter Heck is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Ilia Simakin follows in second place at 50%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $279.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Hunter Heck (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Hunter Heck is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Ilia Simakin (50%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Ilia Simakin maintains a 50% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 50¢.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hunter Heck | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 2 | Ilia Simakin | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilia Simakin and Hunter Heck in the Phan Thiet 4, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Hunter Heck.
This market will resolve to 'Hunter Heck' if Hunter Heck advances against Ilia Simakin.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 18, 2026
- 11:59 PMTLtlvtech$6.30
Bought 14 Ilia Simakin for Game Spread: Ilia Simakin (-5.5) vs Hunter Heck (+5.5) at 0.45
- 11:54 PMTLtlvtech$214.65
Bought 477 Ilia Simakin for Game Spread: Ilia Simakin (-5.5) vs Hunter Heck (+5.5) at 0.45
- 10:54 PMOSoska90$5.00
Bought 6.25 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 10:52 PMBAbattlecruiser$4.27
Bought 5.3375 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 10:52 PMBAbattlecruiser$5.46
Bought 6.825 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:37 PMPApaynetoni$4.11
Bought 19.571429 Hunter Heck for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.21
- 09:32 PMSJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq$21.78
Sold 726 Yes for Phan Thiet 4: Completed Match: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.03
- 09:28 PMSJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq$711.48
Bought 726 Yes for Phan Thiet 4: Completed Match: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.98
- 09:22 PMYOyoooogo$49.60
Bought 62 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:21 PM-K-kest-$9.84
Bought 12.3 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:21 PMPAPapanya$4.00
Bought 5 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
- 09:21 PM——$45.21
Bought 56.5125 Ilia Simakin for Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck at 0.8
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Phan Thiet 4: Ilia Simakin vs Hunter Heck"?
As of the latest update, Hunter Heck leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Ilia Simakin at 50%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $279.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
