Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

$216.7K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 86.5%
Joao Lucas Da Silva 13.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,955% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,950%, while Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $216.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner (9,955%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,955¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,950%), Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 9.5 (9,950%), and Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 23.5 (9,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner9955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
2Completed Match9950.0%$2.0K9950¢-9850¢
3Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
4Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 8.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
5Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 9.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 23.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
7Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 21.57450.0%$1447450¢-7350¢
8Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 22.57450.0%$2407450¢-7350¢
9Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Game Spread +/-3.55000.0%$2005000¢-4900¢
10Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida550.0%$246.6K550¢-450¢
11Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 Winner55.0%—55¢45¢
12Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 9.555.0%—55¢45¢
13Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 10.555.0%—55¢45¢
14Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 10.550.0%—50¢50¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Lucas Da Silva and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Joao Lucas Da Silva' if Joao Lucas Da Silva advances against Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida.

This market will resolve to 'Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida' if Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida advances against Joao Lucas Da Silva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 30, 2026

  • 10:54 AM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $77.80

    Bought 194.492 Joao Lucas Da Silva for Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida at 0.4

  • 09:23 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $1.00

    Bought 2.564103 Joao Lucas Da Silva for Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida at 0.39

  • 09:19 AM
    TEtestoooorr
    $6.00

    Bought 15.384616 Joao Lucas Da Silva for Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida at 0.39

  • 09:19 AM
    LILilybaeum
    $10.28

    Bought 26.358975 Joao Lucas Da Silva for Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida at 0.39

  • 09:19 AM
    LILilybaeum
    $1.90

    Bought 5 Joao Lucas Da Silva for Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida at 0.38

Sep 29, 2026

  • 06:30 PM
    BIbillford
    $1.00

    Bought 1.639343 Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida for Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida at 0.61

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

571
0x5714…dd1a
Event PnL
-$117.30
Volume
$340.00
Positions
Yes
HU2
HUB-1
Event PnL
+$117.30
Volume
$340.00
Positions
No
383
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$0.94
Volume
$225.82
Positions
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
OM4
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$1.03
Volume
$194.49
Positions
Joao Lucas Da Silva
GA5
Gauravnegi
Event PnL
-$1.04
Volume
$69.23
Positions
Joao Lucas Da Silva
LB6
lbtrading
Event PnL
+$0.96
Volume
$64.23
Positions
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
JA7
JakeHursty
Event PnL
+$0.30
Volume
$56.49
Positions
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
GR8
GreenCrow
Event PnL
-$0.25
Volume
$49.99
Positions
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida"?

As of the latest update, Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,955% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,950% and Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $216.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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