Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar

$372 Vol
Nov 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Joaquin Aguilar 51.0%
Joao Lucas Da Silva 49.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,300% chance of winning. Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,250%, while Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $372, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,300%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,300¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $200 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 21.5 (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 1 Winner (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 Winner (5,000%), Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Game Spread +/-0.5 (4,950%), and Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5 (4,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5300.0%$2005300¢-5200¢
2Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 21.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
3Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 1 Winner5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
4Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Game Spread +/-0.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
6Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
7Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
8Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar4850.0%$1684850¢-4750¢
12Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 22.54550.0%$44550¢-4450¢
13Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.53950.0%—3950¢-3850¢
14Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.53600.0%—3600¢-3500¢
15Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
16Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Lucas Da Silva and Joaquin Aguilar in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Joao Lucas Da Silva' if Joao Lucas Da Silva advances against Joaquin Aguilar.

This market will resolve to 'Joaquin Aguilar' if Joaquin Aguilar advances against Joao Lucas Da Silva.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HH1
hhhizli
Event PnL
-$2.40
Volume
$160.00
Positions
Joao Lucas Da Silva
PO2
Po1yamory
Event PnL
+$1.56
Volume
$104.00
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
993
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$0.84
Volume
$56.00
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
JM4
jmp123
Event PnL
+$0.04
Volume
$8.16
Positions
Joaquin Aguilar
PR5
printbibi
Event PnL
-$0.04
Volume
$8.16
Positions
Joao Lucas Da Silva

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,300% win probability, followed by Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Match O/U 21.5 at 5,250% and Guayaquil: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Joaquin Aguilar Set 1 Winner at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $372, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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