Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren

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Nov 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
August Holmgren 56.5%
Yuta Shimizu 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,200% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,050%, while Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 (5,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner (5,000%), Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set Handicap +/-1.5 (4,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set Handicap +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
2Completed Match5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
3Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
7Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
9Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 1 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 1 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
14Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
15Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren4100.0%—4100¢-4000¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yuta Shimizu and August Holmgren in the Taipei, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yuta Shimizu' if Yuta Shimizu advances against August Holmgren.

This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Yuta Shimizu.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren"?

As of the latest update, Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,200% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,050% and Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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