US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti

$126.3K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Juncheng Shang 71.5%
Marco Trungelliti 28.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set 3 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,550% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 36.5 follows in second place at 7,400%, while US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti sits in third with 7,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $126.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set 3 Winner (7,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set 3 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 36.5 (7,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 36.5 maintains a 7,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,400¢.
  • US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti (7,150%): Sitting in third place with a 7,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 40.5 (5,050%), Completed Match (5,000%), and US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Total Sets: O/U 4.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set 3 Winner7550.0%$2.6K7550¢-7450¢
2US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 36.57400.0%$627400¢-7300¢
3US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti7150.0%$118.7K7150¢-7050¢
4US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 40.55050.0%$55050¢-4950¢
5Completed Match5000.0%$3605000¢-4900¢
6US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$6675000¢-4900¢
7US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Total Sets: O/U 4.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 38.55000.0%$1995000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Game Spread +/-3.55000.0%$635000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juncheng Shang and Marco Trungelliti in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Juncheng Shang' if Juncheng Shang advances against Marco Trungelliti.

This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Juncheng Shang.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 31, 2026

  • 09:06 PM
    $7.37

    Bought 11.33846 Juncheng Shang for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.65

  • 09:05 PM
    UZuzbakiztan
    $4.14

    Bought 7.961537 Over for Shang vs. Trungelliti: Match O/U 38.5 at 0.52

  • 09:01 PM
    DEDeanmoriarty
    $50.00

    Bought 138.888887 Marco Trungelliti for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.36

  • 09:01 PM
    1X1x2xx2556xx123
    $187.20

    Bought 520 Marco Trungelliti for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.36

  • 08:59 PM
    0X0xa65c599c826f116B687efd166d77DEB107453Bc1-1775480930386
    $4.00

    Bought 6.25 Juncheng Shang for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.64

  • 08:58 PM
    0X0xaE457d6d83362588DD2B8E23B2c8c359212396B9-1770832003765
    $11.38

    Bought 17.78 Juncheng Shang for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.64

  • 08:57 PM
    INinsidiousidiot
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Juncheng Shang for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.64

  • 08:57 PM
    NANamsla
    $151.70

    Bought 410 Marco Trungelliti for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.37

  • 08:56 PM
    GAGamer-Girl
    $187.56

    Bought 521 Marco Trungelliti for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.36

  • 08:56 PM
    0X0xb06BdBD5BDADd7CFA1C0051f0991eDbb798010fA-1766918166905
    $160.00

    Bought 307.692306 Shang for Set Handicap: Shang (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5) at 0.52

  • 08:54 PM
    INinsidiousidiot
    $258.00

    Bought 396.923074 Juncheng Shang for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.65

  • 08:53 PM
    GAGamer-Girl
    $110.41

    Bought 306.7 Marco Trungelliti for US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 0.36

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
NiNo999
Event PnL
-$4,431.14
Volume
$33,574.91
Positions
Marco Trungelliti
IT2
itsonlyamatteroftime
Event PnL
+$3,444.61
Volume
$23,755.91
Positions
Juncheng Shang
883
88M
Event PnL
-$10.33
Volume
$9,815.10
Positions
Marco Trungelliti
MI4
MilesY
Event PnL
-$740.56
Volume
$7,545.93
Positions
Juncheng Shang
MA5
madkkee
Event PnL
-$373.86
Volume
$5,622.18
Positions
Juncheng Shang
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$16.37
Volume
$4,301.59
Positions
Juncheng ShangTrungellitiUnder+1
F17
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
-$190.90
Volume
$4,242.42
Positions
Marco Trungelliti
AL8
alpheclabs
Event PnL
+$117.12
Volume
$3,757.32
Positions
Juncheng ShangTrungelliti

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Set 3 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,550% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti Match O/U 36.5 at 7,400% and US Open ATP: Juncheng Shang vs Marco Trungelliti at 7,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $126.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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