Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer

$261.9K Vol
Sep 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lukas Neumayer 100.0%
Juan Manuel La Serna 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer Game Spread +/-3.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $261.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer Game Spread +/-3.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer Game Spread +/-3.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
2Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer Game Spread +/-3.59950.0%$1.0K9950¢-9850¢
3Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer5.0%$291.4K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Lukas Neumayer in the Tulln, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Lukas Neumayer.

This market will resolve to 'Lukas Neumayer' if Lukas Neumayer advances against Juan Manuel La Serna.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 10, 2026

  • 11:04 AM
    0X0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
    $5.40

    Bought 20 Juan Manuel La Serna for Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 0.27

  • 10:54 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.35135 Lukas Neumayer for Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 0.74

  • 10:12 AM
    ALAlvurdi
    $25.00

    Bought 33.783784 Lukas Neumayer for Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 0.74

  • 09:45 AM
    0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708
    $2.99

    Bought 5.980393 Serna for Set Handicap: Neumayer (-1.5) vs Serna (+1.5) at 0.5

  • 08:50 AM
    TItitops
    $27.30

    Bought 105 Juan Manuel La Serna for Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 0.26

  • 08:39 AM
    NXnxavier
    $2.00

    Bought 2.666664 Lukas Neumayer for Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 0.75

  • 07:35 AM
    TEtestoooorr
    $6.00

    Bought 23.076924 Juan Manuel La Serna for Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 0.26

  • 07:35 AM
    HOhobo69
    $750.00

    Bought 1000 Lukas Neumayer for Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 0.75

  • 07:24 AM
    HOhobo69
    $440.00

    Bought 1000 Serna for Game Spread: Neumayer (-3.5) vs Serna (+3.5) at 0.44

  • 07:20 AM
    0X0x5807dABF20b75Bf301cA22f1346a8A7818Ec55Df-1784452059719
    $1.17

    Bought 1.56 Lukas Neumayer for Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 0.75

  • 06:11 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 7.142856 Over for Serna vs. Neumayer: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.7

  • 06:08 AM
    NONordic008
    $2.00

    Bought 2.666664 Lukas Neumayer for Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 0.75

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

0B1
0x0BE5…7041
Event PnL
-$45.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Juan Manuel La Serna
322
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$30.67
Volume
$2,044.49
Positions
Lukas Neumayer
HO3
hobo69
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Lukas NeumayerSerna
MM4
mm12310
Event PnL
+$6.76
Volume
$1,351.35
Positions
Lukas Neumayer
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
-$6.42
Volume
$1,284.26
Positions
Juan Manuel La Serna
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$815.73
Volume
$1,035.99
Positions
Lukas Neumayer
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$45.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Neumayer
GA8
gagarin59
Event PnL
+$13.33
Volume
$888.47
Positions
Juan Manuel La Serna

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer Game Spread +/-3.5 at 9,950% and Tulln: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Lukas Neumayer at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $261.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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