Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat

$131.8K Vol
Nov 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Jan Kumstat 100.0%
Joel Schwaerzler 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat Game Spread +/-0.5 follows in second place at 50%, while Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $131.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $732 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat Game Spread +/-0.5 (50%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat Game Spread +/-0.5 maintains a 50% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 50¢.
  • Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%$7329995¢-9895¢
2Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat Game Spread +/-0.550.0%—50¢50¢
3Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat5.0%$126.6K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Joel Schwaerzler and Jan Kumstat in the Taipei, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Joel Schwaerzler' if Joel Schwaerzler advances against Jan Kumstat.

This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Joel Schwaerzler.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 1, 2026

  • 11:30 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $2.60

    Bought 5 Joel Schwaerzler for Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.52

  • 10:49 PM
    K2K2899743
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 Over 2.5 for Joel Schwaerzler vs. Jan Kumstat: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.36

  • 10:34 PM
    NANatoAlfista
    $27.04

    Bought 52 Over for Schwaerzler vs. Kumstat: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.52

  • 09:21 PM
    0X0xd3a002df88d0ba9dc07a2caaa9d3fa13b0245ca1-1792762871306
    $1.36

    Bought 2.775511 Jan Kumstat for Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.49

  • 08:31 PM
    THTheRomanProcurator
    $20.14

    Bought 39.490197 Joel Schwaerzler for Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.51

  • 08:31 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $17.95

    Bought 35.9 Joel Schwaerzler for Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.5

  • 07:11 PM
    K2K2899743
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Joel Schwaerzler for Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.5

  • 06:26 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $0.60

    Sold 6 No for Taipei: Completed Match: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.1

  • 06:23 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $4.74

    Bought 6 No for Taipei: Completed Match: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.79

  • 06:18 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $0.90

    Sold 90 No for Taipei: Completed Match: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.01

  • 06:15 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $5.40

    Bought 90 No for Taipei: Completed Match: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.06

  • 05:55 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $1.10

    Sold 110 No for Taipei: Completed Match: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 0.01

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

F81
0xF816…8144
Event PnL
+$8,649.14
Volume
$48,085.41
Positions
Joel Schwaerzler
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$5,317.74
Volume
$26,622.22
Positions
Jan Kumstat
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
-$2,980.02
Volume
$17,286.17
Positions
Jan Kumstat
TE4
tennistrader20
Event PnL
+$3,064.49
Volume
$13,619.88
Positions
Joel Schwaerzler
AL5
alpheclabs
Event PnL
-$1,442.36
Volume
$8,150.67
Positions
Jan Kumstat
CA6
CandleHammerDrums
Event PnL
-$1,424.97
Volume
$7,336.58
Positions
Jan Kumstat
F17
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
-$437.41
Volume
$6,730.78
Positions
Jan Kumstat
TE8
TennisAce1
Event PnL
+$225.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Joel Schwaerzler

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat Game Spread +/-0.5 at 50% and Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $131.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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