China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli

$104.6K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Flavio Cobolli 53.0%
Roman Safiullin 47.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,300% chance of winning. China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,650%, while China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.5 sits in third with 5,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $104.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 (6,300%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,300¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $229 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner (5,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner maintains a 5,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,650¢.
  • China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.5 (5,650%): Sitting in third place with a 5,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli (5,150%), China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 23.5 (5,150%), and Completed Match (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.56300.0%$2296300¢-6200¢
2China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner5650.0%$9735650¢-5550¢
3China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.55650.0%$2875650¢-5550¢
4China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli5150.0%$86.3K5150¢-5050¢
5China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 23.55150.0%$1085150¢-5050¢
6Completed Match5000.0%$7905000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
9China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%$465000¢-4900¢
11China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Game Spread +/-1.54400.0%$24400¢-4300¢
15China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Total Sets: O/U 2.54300.0%$544300¢-4200¢
16China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.53100.0%$333100¢-3000¢
17China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set Handicap +/-1.52450.0%$332450¢-2350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Flavio Cobolli in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Flavio Cobolli.

This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Roman Safiullin.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 30, 2026

  • 11:47 PM
    ——
    $31.67

    Bought 63.34 Roman Safiullin for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.5

  • 11:47 PM
    Y3Y33
    $350.00

    Bought 686.27451 Flavio Cobolli for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.51

  • 11:32 PM
    ——
    $28.77

    Bought 57.53 Roman Safiullin for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.5

  • 11:32 PM
    ALAlanxventure
    $48.81

    Bought 95.705883 Flavio Cobolli for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.51

  • 11:22 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $2.50

    Bought 5 Roman Safiullin for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.5

  • 11:22 PM
    ALAllyBama
    $52.28

    Bought 102.51 Flavio Cobolli for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.51

  • 11:19 PM
    ALAlanxventure
    $79.83

    Sold 159.66 Flavio Cobolli for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.5

  • 10:54 PM
    ——
    $8.00

    Bought 15.686275 Flavio Cobolli for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.51

  • 10:46 PM
    ONonseason
    $2.00

    Bought 4 Roman Safiullin for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.5

  • 10:46 PM
    ALAlexisIZL2
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Roman Safiullin for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.5

  • 10:30 PM
    SVSvanHelsing
    $13.83

    Bought 27.12 Flavio Cobolli for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.51

  • 10:30 PM
    PGpgktrio2
    $3.99

    Bought 7.82353 Flavio Cobolli for China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CH1
ChallengerSpecialist
Event PnL
-$87.69
Volume
$21,249.99
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
SI2
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
+$91.91
Volume
$11,536.86
Positions
Roman Safiullin
BC3
0xBc43…7816
Event PnL
+$55.80
Volume
$9,719.19
Positions
Roman Safiullin
DV4
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$219.02
Volume
$8,761.00
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
FB5
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$35.00
Volume
$7,000.00
Positions
Roman Safiullin
9F6
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
-$30.44
Volume
$6,088.11
Positions
Roman Safiullin
JA7
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$163.80
Volume
$3,640.00
Positions
Flavio Cobolli
998
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
-$0.88
Volume
$2,237.61
Positions
Roman SafiullinFlavio CobolliOver 2.5

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 21.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,300% win probability, followed by China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Set 1 Winner at 5,650% and China Open: Roman Safiullin vs Flavio Cobolli Match O/U 22.5 at 5,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $104.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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