Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges

$641.9K Vol
Nov 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Casper Ruud 79.5%
Nuno Borges 20.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.5 sits in third with 9,800%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $641.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $24.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.5 (9,800%): Sitting in third place with a 9,800% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges (7,350%), Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 23.5 (7,000%), and Completed Match (5,500%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Total Sets: O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner9995.0%$24.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.59950.0%$1399950¢-9850¢
3Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.59800.0%$2389800¢-9700¢
4Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges7350.0%$712.5K7350¢-7250¢
5Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 23.57000.0%$1.5K7000¢-6900¢
6Completed Match5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
7Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Total Sets: O/U 2.55250.0%$5325250¢-5150¢
8Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set Handicap +/-1.55150.0%$3.7K5150¢-5050¢
9Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 2 Winner5000.0%$1.8K5000¢-4900¢
10Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Game Spread +/-2.54200.0%$6.6K4200¢-4100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Nuno Borges in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 2:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Nuno Borges.

This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Casper Ruud.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 6, 2026

  • 01:53 PM
    HEheycff
    $10.00

    Bought 19.23077 Over for Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 22.5 at 0.52

  • 01:53 PM
    HEheycff
    $10.00

    Bought 16.129031 Over for Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.62

  • 01:43 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Casper Ruud for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.67

  • 01:42 PM
    JHJherfry
    $1.00

    Bought 2.222223 Nuno Borges for Game Spread: Casper Ruud (-2.5) vs Nuno Borges (+2.5) at 0.45

  • 01:32 PM
    LAlarame
    $3.69

    Bought 5.5 Casper Ruud for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.67

  • 12:40 PM
    686827491
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 Over for Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 23.5 at 0.44

  • 12:38 PM
    686827491
    $5.00

    Bought 14.705883 Nuno Borges for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.34

  • 12:32 PM
    ODOdileDeray
    $99.66

    Bought 151 Casper Ruud for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.66

  • 12:00 PM
    BLblazedbunny
    $25.00

    Bought 71.428572 Nuno Borges for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.35

  • 11:55 AM
    AUAurasi
    $45.00

    Bought 68.181819 Casper Ruud for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.66

  • 11:55 AM
    AUAurasi
    $43.71

    Sold 128.57 Nuno Borges for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.34

  • 11:55 AM
    AUAurasi
    $45.00

    Bought 128.571429 Nuno Borges for Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges at 0.35

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
Kkunn
Event PnL
-$165.52
Volume
$37,075.45
Positions
Nuno Borges
GM2
gmpm2
Event PnL
+$82.22
Volume
$31,510.34
Positions
Casper Ruud
KK3
kkookkoo
Event PnL
-$215.05
Volume
$22,039.07
Positions
Casper Ruud
AN4
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$33.90
Volume
$12,004.97
Positions
Nuno Borges
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$132.30
Volume
$8,820.10
Positions
Nuno Borges
SU6
SunflowaRebuildYear
Event PnL
+$37.50
Volume
$7,500.00
Positions
Nuno Borges
F17
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
-$28.02
Volume
$5,606.06
Positions
Nuno Borges
658
6512395314597884
Event PnL
+$21.25
Volume
$5,330.57
Positions
Casper Ruud

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges"?

As of the latest update, Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Set 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 21.5 at 9,950% and Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Nuno Borges Match O/U 22.5 at 9,800%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $641.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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