Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov

$423.6K Vol
Oct 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Pablo Llamas Ruiz 100.0%
Petr Nesterov 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Petr Nesterov is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Pablo Llamas Ruiz follows in second place at 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $423.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Petr Nesterov (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Petr Nesterov is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Pablo Llamas Ruiz maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Petr Nesterov9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Pablo Llamas Ruiz5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Petr Nesterov in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Petr Nesterov.

This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' if Petr Nesterov advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:28 PM
    ZLZLYU
    $4.00

    Bought 5.633803 Pablo Llamas Ruiz for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.71

  • 01:27 PM
    STStupidGamble
    $35.50

    Bought 50 Pablo Llamas Ruiz for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.71

  • 01:22 PM
    FRfreeshore
    $3.20

    Bought 10.666667 Petr Nesterov for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.3

  • 01:08 PM
    ALalwayscha
    $4.90

    Bought 7 Pablo Llamas Ruiz for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.7

  • 01:03 PM
    MImiao124
    $70.00

    Bought 100 Pablo Llamas Ruiz for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.7

  • 12:20 PM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $10.00

    Sold 250 No for Villena: Completed Match: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.04

  • 12:17 PM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $15.00

    Bought 250 No for Villena: Completed Match: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.06

  • 11:46 AM
    ALalexma11224
    $6.97

    Bought 12.912728 Pablo Llamas Ruiz for Game Spread: Pablo Llamas Ruiz (-3.5) vs Petr Nesterov (+3.5) at 0.54

  • 11:29 AM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $1.32

    Bought 4.258065 Petr Nesterov for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.31

  • 11:24 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.67

    Bought 6.671426 Pablo Llamas Ruiz for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.7

  • 11:21 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $93.57

    Bought 133.671426 Pablo Llamas Ruiz for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.7

  • 11:00 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $193.10

    Bought 275.86 Pablo Llamas Ruiz for Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov at 0.7

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NE1
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$0.47
Volume
$369.42
Positions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
992
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$4.10
Volume
$285.74
Positions
Pablo Llamas RuizPetr NesterovOver
PO3
Po1yamory
Event PnL
+$0.90
Volume
$179.98
Positions
Petr NesterovPetr Nesterov
UN4
UNEB3154s4f251
Event PnL
-$1.95
Volume
$130.00
Positions
Petr Nesterov
MI5
MinasMorgul
Event PnL
+$0.60
Volume
$123.23
Positions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
AN6
antec
Event PnL
-$0.50
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Petr Nesterov
CA7
capitalpiston2
Event PnL
+$0.46
Volume
$92.11
Positions
Petr Nesterov
IG8
igot50k
Event PnL
-$0.23
Volume
$55.87
Positions
Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Villena: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Petr Nesterov"?

As of the latest update, Petr Nesterov leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Pablo Llamas Ruiz at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $423.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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