Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm

$25 Vol
Nov 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lucas Poullain 77.0%
Yannik Kelm 23.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,700% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,050%, while Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $25, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm (7,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $90 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
  • Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 2 Winner (5,000%), Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), and Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm7700.0%$907700¢-7600¢
2Completed Match5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
3Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set Handicap +/-1.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 2 O/U 8.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
12Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
13Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 2 O/U 10.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
14Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Match O/U 21.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
15Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Match O/U 22.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
16Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Match O/U 23.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Yannik Kelm in the Bratislava 2, Slovakia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Yannik Kelm.

This market will resolve to 'Yannik Kelm' if Yannik Kelm advances against Lucas Poullain.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm"?

As of the latest update, Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,700% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,050% and Bratislava 2: Lucas Poullain vs Yannik Kelm Set 1 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $25, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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