Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz

$643.7K Vol
Nov 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lorenzo Musetti 73.5%
Hubert Hurkacz 27.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $643.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,995%), Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5 (9,950%), and Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 (9,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner9995.0%$2.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
5Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
7Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz6950.0%$638.7K6950¢-6850¢
8Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Game Spread +/-0.55900.0%$1165900¢-5800¢
9Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.55100.0%$2.4K5100¢-5000¢
10Completed Match5000.0%$605000¢-4900¢
11Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.55000.0%$225000¢-4900¢
14Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.55000.0%$305000¢-4900¢
15Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner4800.0%$754800¢-4700¢
16Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$335¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lorenzo Musetti and Hubert Hurkacz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Lorenzo Musetti.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:00 AM
    WIwillMM
    $3.00

    Bought 5.882353 Lorenzo Musetti for Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.51

  • 12:00 AM
    LULumens
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Lorenzo Musetti for Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.51

Nov 1, 2026

  • 11:57 PM
    BLblazedbunny
    $40.00

    Bought 80 Hubert Hurkacz for Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.5

  • 11:45 PM
    LLllx
    $3.00

    Bought 5.882353 Lorenzo Musetti for Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.51

  • 10:43 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $105.12

    Bought 210.24 Lorenzo Musetti for Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.5

  • 10:00 PM
    SHshinybot
    $3.56

    Bought 5.014082 Lorenzo Musetti for Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5) at 0.71

  • 09:44 PM
    PAPavel55
    $2.45

    Sold 5 Lorenzo Musetti for Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.49

  • 09:29 PM
    ARAry1998
    $3.54

    Sold 12.65 Hubert Hurkacz for Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5) at 0.28

  • 09:28 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $3.00

    Sold 30 No for Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.1

  • 09:26 PM
    ARAry1998
    $4.05

    Bought 12.65625 Hubert Hurkacz for Set Handicap: Hubert Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Lorenzo Musetti (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 09:25 PM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $28.20

    Bought 30 No for Rolex Paris Masters: Completed Match: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.94

  • 09:24 PM
    0X0xd3a002df88d0ba9dc07a2caaa9d3fa13b0245ca1-1792762871306
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Lorenzo Musetti for Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KC1
Kch-Temp
Event PnL
+$375.05
Volume
$25,000.00
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
DR2
DrSlips
Event PnL
+$313.41
Volume
$20,530.91
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$15.84
Volume
$20,193.64
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
0F4
0x0f34…7684
Event PnL
-$227.29
Volume
$15,194.00
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
SU5
SunflowaRebuildYear
Event PnL
+$0.72
Volume
$13,572.29
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$7.27
Volume
$6,410.63
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti
F17
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
+$76.72
Volume
$6,362.56
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
AL8
alaskabaked
Event PnL
-$297.06
Volume
$5,445.23
Positions
Lorenzo Musetti

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz"?

As of the latest update, Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 9,995% and Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $643.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Start trading