Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron

$185.3K Vol
Oct 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Jaume Munar 64.5%
Marcos Giron 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Set 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 22.5 follows in second place at 9,890%, while Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Total Sets: O/U 2.5 sits in third with 9,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $185.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Set 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $128 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 22.5 (9,890%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 22.5 maintains a 9,890% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,890¢.
  • Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,100%): Sitting in third place with a 9,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Total Sets: O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Completed Match (5,350%), Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,150%), and Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Set 2 Winner9995.0%$1289995¢-9895¢
2Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 22.59890.0%$5089890¢-9790¢
3Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Total Sets: O/U 2.59100.0%—9100¢-9000¢
4Completed Match5350.0%$2.8K5350¢-5250¢
5Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Game Spread +/-3.55150.0%$315150¢-5050¢
6Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron5050.0%$180.5K5050¢-4950¢
7Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 21.55000.0%$2095000¢-4900¢
8Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 8.55.0%—5¢95¢
10Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 9.55.0%—5¢95¢
11Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Set 2 O/U 10.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Jaume Munar and Marcos Giron in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Marcos Giron.

This market will resolve to 'Marcos Giron' if Marcos Giron advances against Jaume Munar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

121
0x1256E1f
Event PnL
+$1.01
Volume
$201.00
Positions
Jaume Munar
382
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$0.98
Volume
$195.31
Positions
Marcos Giron
NO3
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$0.94
Volume
$186.97
Positions
Jaume Munar
.F4
.Felipe
Event PnL
-$0.78
Volume
$156.25
Positions
Jaume Munar
ML5
mlabs
Event PnL
-$0.68
Volume
$136.00
Positions
Marcos Giron
JG6
jgcrm9up97bz
Event PnL
-$0.68
Volume
$135.13
Positions
Marcos Giron
MA7
manvsrice42
Event PnL
-$0.25
Volume
$50.00
Positions
Marcos Giron
TT8
TTOPDOGG
Event PnL
-$1.32
Volume
$35.96
Positions
Jaume Munar

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron"?

As of the latest update, Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Set 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Match O/U 22.5 at 9,890% and Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Jaume Munar vs Marcos Giron Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $185.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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