Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller

$1.2M Vol
Oct 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Elmer Moeller 56.0%
Thiago Monteiro 44.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller Game Spread +/-3.5 follows in second place at 50%, while Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1.2M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller Game Spread +/-3.5 (50%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller Game Spread +/-3.5 maintains a 50% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 50¢.
  • Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller Game Spread +/-3.550.0%$1350¢50¢
3Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller5.0%$1.3M5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Monteiro and Elmer Moeller in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Elmer Moeller.

This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Thiago Monteiro.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 5, 2026

  • 12:00 PM
    XPxpojk123
    $3.00

    Bought 5.660378 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.53

  • 11:39 AM
    SCsc1pt0x
    $11.58

    Bought 21.849057 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.53

  • 10:34 AM
    KOKomb
    $1.95

    Bought 3.679246 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.53

  • 10:19 AM
    BLblazedbunny
    $10.00

    Bought 20.833334 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.48

  • 09:55 AM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $211.99

    Bought 399.981131 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.53

Oct 4, 2026

  • 11:33 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Elmer Moeller for Set Handicap: Thiago Monteiro (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:32 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Elmer Moeller for Set Handicap: Thiago Monteiro (-1.5) vs Elmer Moeller (+1.5) at 0.68

  • 11:31 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.47

  • 11:30 PM
    PRprofitlaw
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.46

  • 11:05 PM
    LAlatinbi
    $12.73

    Bought 22.732143 Thiago Monteiro for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.56

  • 09:39 PM
    OLOlivier987
    $16.20

    Bought 36 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 0.45

  • 09:39 PM
    HGhgr1
    $8.00

    Bought 17.021277 Under for Monteiro vs. Moeller: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.47

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

F11
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
-$211.28
Volume
$8,451.52
Positions
Thiago Monteiro
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
+$128.50
Volume
$2,990.00
Positions
Elmer Moeller
323
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$90.97
Volume
$2,174.33
Positions
Elmer Moeller
PP4
Ppk2347
Event PnL
-$558.15
Volume
$2,112.19
Positions
Thiago Monteiro
LK5
lkjasdf
Event PnL
-$370.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Thiago Monteiro
CA6
CandleHammerDrums
Event PnL
+$77.06
Volume
$1,949.86
Positions
Elmer Moeller
OM7
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
-$401.64
Volume
$1,761.11
Positions
Thiago MonteiroElmer Moeller
DE8
0xdeff…78f8
Event PnL
+$361.17
Volume
$1,624.58
Positions
Elmer Moeller

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller Game Spread +/-3.5 at 50% and Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1.2M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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