US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien

$40.1K Vol
Sep 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Learner Tien 82.5%
Gael Monfils 17.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,850% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 follows in second place at 6,800%, while US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-5.5 sits in third with 5,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $40.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 (6,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 maintains a 6,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,800¢.
  • US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-5.5 (5,850%): Sitting in third place with a 5,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-5.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (5,300%), Completed Match (5,000%), and US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.56850.0%6850¢-6750¢
2US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.56800.0%$216800¢-6700¢
3US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-5.55850.0%5850¢-5750¢
4US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.55300.0%$8335300¢-5200¢
5Completed Match5000.0%$2355000¢-4900¢
6US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.54850.0%4850¢-4750¢
17US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.54500.0%4500¢-4400¢
18US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.54150.0%$1964150¢-4050¢
19US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.53850.0%$433850¢-3750¢
20US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.53650.0%3650¢-3550¢
21US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
22US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
23US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
24US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.52550.0%2550¢-2450¢
25US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.52550.0%$1962550¢-2450¢
26US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.52150.0%2150¢-2050¢
27US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien1750.0%$59.3K1750¢-1650¢
28US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.51350.0%$211350¢-1250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gael Monfils and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Gael Monfils' if Gael Monfils advances against Learner Tien.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Gael Monfils.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 3, 2026

  • 09:17 AM
    DUDukeKV
    $1.00

    Bought 5.555554 Gael Monfils for US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.18

  • 09:03 AM
    WHWhale112
    $19.00

    Bought 20 No for US Open ATP: Completed Match: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.95

  • 09:01 AM
    WHWhale112
    $72.00

    Bought 80 No for US Open ATP: Completed Match: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.9

  • 09:00 AM
    WHWhale112
    $9.00

    Bought 10 No for US Open ATP: Completed Match: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.9

  • 09:00 AM
    WHWhale112
    $9.00

    Bought 10 No for US Open ATP: Completed Match: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.9

  • 08:59 AM
    WHWhale112
    $5.00

    Sold 50 Yes for US Open ATP: Completed Match: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.1

  • 08:59 AM
    WHWhale112
    $5.00

    Sold 50 Yes for US Open ATP: Completed Match: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.1

  • 08:58 AM
    WHWhale112
    $1.50

    Sold 15 Yes for US Open ATP: Completed Match: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.1

  • 07:59 AM
    $1.00

    Bought 5.555554 Gael Monfils for US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.18

  • 07:25 AM
    OMOmarST
    $2.00

    Bought 2.409635 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien at 0.83

  • 07:11 AM
    DRDriftCapital
    $5.10

    Bought 8.65 Monfils for Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Monfils (+2.5) at 0.59

  • 07:11 AM
    MAmarigliano
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Monfils for Set Handicap: Tien (-2.5) vs Monfils (+2.5) at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DE1
degenfren
Event PnL
+$147.90
Volume
$40,857.35
Positions
Learner Tien
GA2
gagarin59
Event PnL
+$0.04
Volume
$17,775.97
Positions
Gael Monfils
FB3
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Gael Monfils
AG4
AGUGava
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Learner Tien
475
0x479E…2692
Event PnL
-$24.09
Volume
$4,819.28
Positions
Learner Tien
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$7.96
Volume
$3,797.30
Positions
Gael MonfilsOver 3.5Monfils
5B7
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Gael Monfils
CA8
CAcap
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Gael Monfils

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,850% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 6,800% and US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-5.5 at 5,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $40.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started