US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi

$54.8K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Benjamin Bonzi 64.5%
Alex Molcan 35.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 5,800%, while US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.5 sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $54.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (5,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 maintains a 5,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,800¢.
  • US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,050%), Completed Match (5,000%), and US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.57350.0%7350¢-7250¢
2US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.55800.0%$825800¢-5700¢
3US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.55150.0%5150¢-5050¢
4US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.55050.0%$1.6K5050¢-4950¢
5Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 36.54950.0%$554950¢-4850¢
17US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 38.54500.0%$354500¢-4400¢
18US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Game Spread +/-5.54100.0%4100¢-4000¢
19US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
20US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 Winner4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
21US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner4000.0%4000¢-3900¢
22US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 40.53850.0%3850¢-3750¢
23US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi3550.0%$53.0K3550¢-3450¢
24US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-2.52850.0%2850¢-2750¢
25US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 10.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
26US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 4.52450.0%2450¢-2350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Benjamin Bonzi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Benjamin Bonzi.

This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Alex Molcan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 1, 2026

  • 08:41 AM
    SKSkyCapital71
    $150.00

    Bought 234.375 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.64

  • 08:35 AM
    UNUnderdogDan
    $14.00

    Bought 27.450979 Bonzi for Set Handicap: Bonzi (-1.5) vs Molcan (+1.5) at 0.51

  • 08:32 AM
    0X0x4830bf39562B637C2eeE02cDD0E0eEC11105A59d-1738863608481
    $15.00

    Bought 27.777776 Over for Molcan vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 36.5 at 0.54

  • 07:51 AM
    ABAbso74
    $6.00

    Bought 9.375 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.64

  • 07:30 AM
    SEsentrio
    $5.89

    Bought 16.37 Alex Molcan for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 07:30 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 13.888887 Alex Molcan for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 07:30 AM
    SEsentrio
    $1.80

    Bought 5 Alex Molcan for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 07:30 AM
    SEsentrio
    $12.74

    Bought 35.38 Alex Molcan for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 07:30 AM
    SEsentrio
    $3.46

    Bought 9.62 Alex Molcan for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 07:29 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $1,222.92

    Bought 3397 Alex Molcan for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 06:36 AM
    EMEmlBrg
    $4.99

    Bought 14.676469 Alex Molcan for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.34

  • 06:33 AM
    LULunesta
    $95.37

    Bought 142.34 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AV1
AV23IUa
Event PnL
+$204.74
Volume
$43,467.11
Positions
Benjamin Bonzi
BA2
Bagwell306
Event PnL
-$100.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Alex Molcan
573
0x57b2…6696
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Alex Molcan
SE4
sentrio
Event PnL
+$0.38
Volume
$5,080.76
Positions
Alex Molcan
FL5
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$10.21
Volume
$4,084.00
Positions
Alex Molcan
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$17.93
Volume
$3,397.00
Positions
Alex Molcan
K57
k56
Event PnL
-$14.92
Volume
$2,985.07
Positions
Benjamin Bonzi
JA8
Jarod21
Event PnL
-$13.21
Volume
$2,642.42
Positions
Alex Molcan

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 at 5,800% and US Open ATP: Alex Molcan vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $54.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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