Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira

$227.1K Vol
Oct 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Elmer Moeller 100.0%
Tiago Pereira 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $227.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $216.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Completed Match (9,960%), Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,955%), and Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,955%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Match O/U 21.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira9995.0%$216.9K9995¢-9895¢
2Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
3Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.59995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
4Completed Match9960.0%$7.7K9960¢-9860¢
5Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 9.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
6Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 10.59955.0%—9955¢-9855¢
7Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Match O/U 21.59950.0%$179950¢-9850¢
8Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Match O/U 22.59950.0%$159950¢-9850¢
9Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Match O/U 23.59950.0%$49950¢-9850¢
10Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Game Spread +/-4.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
11Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 Winner55.0%$1.6K55¢45¢
12Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 O/U 8.550.0%—50¢50¢
13Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 O/U 10.550.0%—50¢50¢
14Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 O/U 9.545.0%$15645¢55¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elmer Moeller and Tiago Pereira in the Braga, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Tiago Pereira.

This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Elmer Moeller.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 9, 2026

  • 01:34 PM
    RYRyancharran47
    $25.00

    Bought 36.764706 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68

  • 01:25 PM
    FEfelicestigres
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35294 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68

  • 01:22 PM
    TETennism
    $3.40

    Bought 5 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68

  • 12:47 PM
    ——
    $10.00

    Bought 14.705881 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68

  • 12:38 PM
    YWywordk
    $2.00

    Bought 2.941175 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68

  • 11:46 AM
    HOhobo69
    $354.00

    Bought 600 Tiago Pereira for Set Handicap: Elmer Moeller (-1.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 11:40 AM
    REreaaln
    $2.95

    Bought 5 Tiago Pereira for Set Handicap: Elmer Moeller (-1.5) vs Tiago Pereira (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 11:33 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $1.00

    Sold 20 No for Braga: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.05

  • 11:30 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $1.40

    Bought 20 No for Braga: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.07

  • 11:26 AM
    ALAlvurdi
    $11.00

    Bought 16.176471 Elmer Moeller for Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.68

  • 11:04 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $6.00

    Sold 120 No for Braga: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.05

  • 11:01 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $8.40

    Bought 120 No for Braga: Completed Match: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira at 0.07

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SI1
Simposio
Event PnL
-$359.51
Volume
$5,785.10
Positions
Tiago Pereira
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
+$136.13
Volume
$2,094.38
Positions
Elmer Moeller
5C3
0x5c54…f1d2
Event PnL
+$343.17
Volume
$1,593.63
Positions
Elmer Moeller
CA4
CandleHammerDrums
Event PnL
+$70.81
Volume
$1,111.95
Positions
Elmer Moeller
NE5
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$48.15
Volume
$875.41
Positions
Tiago Pereira
EF6
efntrick
Event PnL
+$53.95
Volume
$830.00
Positions
Elmer Moeller
5E7
0x5e3f…07ce
Event PnL
+$105.04
Volume
$724.40
Positions
Elmer Moeller
N18
n1ck10s
Event PnL
-$9.03
Volume
$683.68
Positions
Elmer Moeller

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira"?

As of the latest update, Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 2 Winner at 9,995% and Braga: Elmer Moeller vs Tiago Pereira Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $227.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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