Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao

$369.8K Vol
Sep 29, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Shintaro Mochizuki 100.0%
Linang Xiao 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $369.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $362.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao9995.0%$362.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$3.9K9995¢-9895¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Linang Xiao in the Chengdu Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Linang Xiao.

This market will resolve to 'Linang Xiao' if Linang Xiao advances against Shintaro Mochizuki.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 21, 2026

  • 08:58 PM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.11111 Shintaro Mochizuki for Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao at 0.9

  • 07:19 PM
    TAtatkamatv78
    $4.99

    Bought 8.6 Linang Xiao for Game Spread: Shintaro Mochizuki (-6.5) vs Linang Xiao (+6.5) at 0.58

  • 07:18 PM
    IMimemu
    $18.60

    Bought 32.068966 Linang Xiao for Game Spread: Shintaro Mochizuki (-6.5) vs Linang Xiao (+6.5) at 0.58

  • 07:17 PM
    4T4TheWin2
    $4.00

    Bought 10 Under for Mochizuki vs. Xiao: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.4

  • 07:15 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $3.20

    Bought 8 Under for Mochizuki vs. Xiao: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 at 0.4

  • 04:59 PM
    0X0x96D61a3A181c250f89875e1aE0E349c609eF5892-1765363824906
    $10.00

    Bought 11.235954 Shintaro Mochizuki for Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao at 0.89

  • 02:53 PM
    TAtatkamatv78
    $36.26

    Bought 82.4 Shintaro Mochizuki for Game Spread: Shintaro Mochizuki (-6.5) vs Linang Xiao (+6.5) at 0.44

  • 02:38 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $4.79

    Bought 6.0625 Shintaro Mochizuki for Set 1 Winner: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao at 0.79

  • 02:38 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $5.60

    Bought 7 Shintaro Mochizuki for Set 1 Winner: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao at 0.8

  • 02:33 PM
    $100.01

    Bought 232.59091 Shintaro Mochizuki for Game Spread: Shintaro Mochizuki (-6.5) vs Linang Xiao (+6.5) at 0.43

  • 02:26 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $18.80

    Bought 20 Shintaro Mochizuki for Set Handicap: Linang Xiao (-1.5) vs Shintaro Mochizuki (+1.5) at 0.94

  • 02:21 PM
    4T4TheWin2
    $4.20

    Bought 10 Shintaro Mochizuki for Game Spread: Shintaro Mochizuki (-6.5) vs Linang Xiao (+6.5) at 0.42

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$1,060.77
Volume
$5,502.20
Positions
Linang XiaoLinang Xiao
AV2
avotrade
Event PnL
+$319.37
Volume
$3,416.69
Positions
Shintaro Mochizuki
073
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
+$175.68
Volume
$2,893.74
Positions
Linang Xiao
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$114.90
Volume
$2,108.05
Positions
Shintaro MochizukiLinang Xiao
745
0x7462…2554
Event PnL
+$297.58
Volume
$1,762.22
Positions
Shintaro Mochizuki
BA6
barocco
Event PnL
+$97.70
Volume
$1,701.14
Positions
Linang Xiao
SE7
seek333
Event PnL
+$92.04
Volume
$1,019.44
Positions
Shintaro Mochizuki
CD8
CDCtennis
Event PnL
+$150.13
Volume
$999.99
Positions
Shintaro Mochizuki

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao"?

As of the latest update, Chengdu Open, Qualification: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Linang Xiao leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $369.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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