Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery

$86.9K Vol
Nov 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Calvin Hemery 100.0%
Shintaro Mochizuki 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5% chance of winning. Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery Game Spread +/-1.5 follows in second place at 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $86.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery (5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $104.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery Game Spread +/-1.5 (5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery Game Spread +/-1.5 maintains a 5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery5.0%$104.4K5¢95¢
2Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery Game Spread +/-1.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Calvin Hemery in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Calvin Hemery.

This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Shintaro Mochizuki.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 10, 2026

  • 10:28 AM
    MAMadridTime
    $2.90

    Bought 6.904762 Calvin Hemery for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.42

  • 10:26 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanestreet
    $38.27

    Bought 65.98 Shintaro Mochizuki for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.58

  • 07:06 AM
    OMOmnipollo44
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Shintaro Mochizuki for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.58

  • 04:44 AM
    MAMadridTime
    $2.91

    Bought 6.613637 Calvin Hemery for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.44

  • 03:18 AM
    EFeFMBS
    $2.29

    Bought 4.978261 Calvin Hemery for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.46

  • 03:18 AM
    EFeFMBS
    $17.02

    Bought 37 Calvin Hemery for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.46

  • 03:17 AM
    EFeFMBS
    $17.03

    Bought 37.02174 Calvin Hemery for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.46

  • 03:17 AM
    TLtlvtech
    $3.12

    Bought 6 Shintaro Mochizuki for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.52

  • 03:17 AM
    EFeFMBS
    $2.29

    Bought 4.978261 Calvin Hemery for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.46

  • 02:20 AM
    HHhhhizli
    $50.00

    Bought 98.039216 Calvin Hemery for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.51

  • 12:47 AM
    EFeFMBS
    $35.04

    Bought 74.553618 Calvin Hemery for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.47

  • 12:43 AM
    EFeFMBS
    $12.27

    Bought 27.266667 Calvin Hemery for Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NE1
neutralwave23
Event PnL
+$711.90
Volume
$2,756.79
Positions
Shintaro Mochizuki
TH2
thirdt1me
Event PnL
-$506.32
Volume
$2,632.86
Positions
Calvin Hemery
CA3
CandleHammerDrums
Event PnL
-$641.42
Volume
$2,411.57
Positions
Calvin Hemery
LI4
LightParadox
Event PnL
+$86.17
Volume
$1,516.38
Positions
Shintaro Mochizuki
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$240.06
Volume
$1,436.31
Positions
Calvin Hemery
DE6
Dex777
Event PnL
+$358.14
Volume
$930.23
Positions
Shintaro Mochizuki
.D7
.d-.-b.
Event PnL
+$327.62
Volume
$837.97
Positions
Shintaro Mochizuki
KE8
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Event PnL
+$175.04
Volume
$621.20
Positions
Shintaro Mochizuki

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery"?

As of the latest update, Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5% win probability, followed by Orleans: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery Game Spread +/-1.5 at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $86.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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