
US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,450% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.5 follows in second place at 6,350%, while US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 6,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $53.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 (8,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $246 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.5 (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.5 maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
- US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,150%): Sitting in third place with a 6,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Completed Match (5,000%), US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 36.5 (5,000%), and US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 38.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 8450.0% | $246 | 8450¢ | -8350¢ |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 6350.0% | $6.5K | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 4 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 36.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 38.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Match O/U 40.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Game Spread +/-8.5 | 4650.0% | $54 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 4050.0% | — | 4050¢ | -3950¢ |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 3550.0% | $23 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 21 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 2100.0% | — | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 22 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 2 Winner | 2000.0% | — | 2000¢ | -1900¢ |
| 23 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 3 Winner | 1850.0% | — | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 24 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 Winner | 1700.0% | — | 1700¢ | -1600¢ |
| 25 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 26 | US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo | 650.0% | $46.5K | 650¢ | -550¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Francisco Cerundolo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Francisco Cerundolo.
This market will resolve to 'Francisco Cerundolo' if Francisco Cerundolo advances against Filip Misolic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 1, 2026
- 08:46 AM0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706$1.00
Bought 12.5 Filip Misolic for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.08
- 08:46 AMNInigiri99$4.72
Bought 59 Filip Misolic for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.08
- 08:30 AMUNUnderdogDan$14.50
Bought 37.179486 Misolic for Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-2.5) vs Misolic (+2.5) at 0.39
- 08:20 AM0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848$1.00
Bought 1.075257 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.93
- 08:20 AM——$1.04
Bought 13 Filip Misolic for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.08
- 08:12 AM0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706$1.00
Bought 12.5 Filip Misolic for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.08
- 08:12 AMNInigiri99$4.72
Bought 59 Filip Misolic for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.08
- 08:04 AMNInigiri99$6.56
Bought 82 Filip Misolic for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.08
- 08:04 AM0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706$1.00
Bought 12.5 Filip Misolic for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.08
- 07:56 AMIWiwanttoberichplease$20.00
Bought 21.505371 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.93
- 07:52 AMFEferrariChampions2026$2,762.17
Bought 3002.36 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.92
- 07:39 AMVDVD721lsj4938Dk388$2.43
Bought 2.64 Francisco Cerundolo for US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo at 0.92
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo"?
As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,450% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set Handicap +/-2.5 at 6,350% and US Open ATP: Filip Misolic vs Francisco Cerundolo Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 6,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $53.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
