Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev

$288.2K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Daniil Medvedev 67.5%
Andrey Rublev 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,400% chance of winning. Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev follows in second place at 6,750%, while Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner sits in third with 6,300%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $288.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 (8,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev (6,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev maintains a 6,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,750¢.
  • Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner (6,300%): Sitting in third place with a 6,300% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner (6,250%), Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.5 (6,100%), and Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,850%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.58400.0%—8400¢-8300¢
2Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev6750.0%$266.8K6750¢-6650¢
3Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner6300.0%—6300¢-6200¢
4Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner6250.0%$5.3K6250¢-6150¢
5Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.56100.0%$166100¢-6000¢
6Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
7Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-2.55550.0%$525550¢-5450¢
8Completed Match5150.0%$13.7K5150¢-5050¢
9Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 22.55050.0%$225050¢-4950¢
10Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.54400.0%$1944400¢-4300¢
14Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 23.54350.0%$94350¢-4250¢
15Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 2.54050.0%$2.1K4050¢-3950¢
16Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Andrey Rublev in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 7:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Andrey Rublev.

This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Daniil Medvedev.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 12:41 AM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 4.761905 Daniil Medvedev for Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.63

Sep 28, 2026

  • 11:41 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Daniil Medvedev for Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.6

  • 11:41 PM
    131346197
    $6.00

    Bought 10 Daniil Medvedev for Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.6

  • 11:41 PM
    ——
    $1,752.79

    Bought 2921.31 Daniil Medvedev for Set 1 Winner: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.6

  • 11:30 PM
    BUbuzzedballs
    $12.60

    Bought 20 Daniil Medvedev for Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.63

  • 11:10 PM
    ALalborotocrypto
    $5.00

    Bought 7.936508 Daniil Medvedev for Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.63

  • 11:09 PM
    PAPakua
    $2.00

    Bought 3.921569 Daniil Medvedev for Game Spread: Daniil Medvedev (-2.5) vs Andrey Rublev (+2.5) at 0.51

  • 11:07 PM
    FEfelixroj
    $5.00

    Bought 7.936508 Daniil Medvedev for Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.63

  • 11:00 PM
    MAMastergreen
    $20.31

    Bought 32.238094 Daniil Medvedev for Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.63

  • 10:43 PM
    ASASDF1268
    $18.89

    Bought 29.99 Daniil Medvedev for Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.63

  • 10:38 PM
    ASasdf19191919
    $145.46

    Bought 382.789474 Andrey Rublev for Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.38

  • 10:20 PM
    0X0x949A26cC421829f58b2f8F71aA663ccC219e748b-1778142974573
    $6.40

    Bought 10.158729 Daniil Medvedev for Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KD1
kdvlklkvlsklkfs
Event PnL
-$1,771.76
Volume
$152,058.14
Positions
Daniil Medvedev
FA2
fastball67
Event PnL
+$21.79
Volume
$24,999.87
Positions
Andrey Rublev
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$126.07
Volume
$20,383.58
Positions
Andrey RublevAndrey RublevAndrey Rublev
9F4
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$275.49
Volume
$18,366.16
Positions
Andrey Rublev
2C5
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
+$254.03
Volume
$16,935.36
Positions
Andrey Rublev
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$413.88
Volume
$16,554.58
Positions
Daniil Medvedev
CH7
ChallengerSpecialist
Event PnL
+$230.25
Volume
$15,350.00
Positions
Daniil Medvedev
998
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
-$15.92
Volume
$15,346.71
Positions
Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev"?

As of the latest update, Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,400% win probability, followed by Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev at 6,750% and Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner at 6,300%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $288.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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