St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone

$421.1K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Harold Mayot 100.0%
Murphy Cassone 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone Game Spread +/-1.5 follows in second place at 3,000%, while Completed Match sits in third with 55%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $421.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $413.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone Game Spread +/-1.5 (3,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone Game Spread +/-1.5 maintains a 3,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 3,000¢.
  • Completed Match (55%): Sitting in third place with a 55% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone9995.0%$413.7K9995¢-9895¢
2St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone Game Spread +/-1.53000.0%$1233000¢-2900¢
3Completed Match55.0%$7.2K55¢45¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Harold Mayot and Murphy Cassone in the St. Tropez, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Harold Mayot' if Harold Mayot advances against Murphy Cassone.

This market will resolve to 'Murphy Cassone' if Murphy Cassone advances against Harold Mayot.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 26, 2026

  • 12:18 PM
    ——
    $6.79

    Bought 11.13 Harold Mayot for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.61

  • 12:16 PM
    PApauleta23
    $2.04

    Bought 4.744187 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.43

  • 12:16 PM
    DWdwedwd
    $0.11

    Bought 0.25 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.43

  • 12:16 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $168.00

    Bought 400 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

  • 12:16 PM
    THthestingsnake
    $126.00

    Bought 300 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

  • 12:16 PM
    REreezint
    $2.05

    Bought 5 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.41

  • 12:14 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Harold Mayot for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.6

  • 12:14 PM
    0X0x43839B041C8dA4De0f3ed8D1238714c4F8b2DBDD-1777627840708
    $2.00

    Bought 3.333332 Harold Mayot for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.6

  • 12:13 PM
    RIrixos
    $1.10

    Bought 110 No for St. Tropez: Completed Match: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.01

  • 12:12 PM
    0X0x3dECa5F84ab09E33a4025a0dF40f491e427179bc-1788335530811
    $2.20

    Bought 5.238096 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

  • 12:12 PM
    MAmathacewa
    $4.10

    Sold 10 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.41

  • 12:12 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $21.76

    Bought 51.809524 Murphy Cassone for St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone at 0.42

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SL1
slowbettor
Event PnL
+$5,472.13
Volume
$16,420.82
Positions
Murphy Cassone
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$451.03
Volume
$9,560.84
Positions
Harold Mayot
F13
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
+$1,724.51
Volume
$5,334.90
Positions
Murphy Cassone
CA4
Carlos10
Event PnL
-$1,785.71
Volume
$4,761.90
Positions
Harold Mayot
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
-$1,648.20
Volume
$3,932.76
Positions
Harold Mayot
KI6
kingflop
Event PnL
+$1,190.08
Volume
$3,173.55
Positions
Murphy Cassone
UP7
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$13.15
Volume
$2,092.88
Positions
Murphy Cassone
LK8
lkjasdf
Event PnL
-$550.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Harold Mayot

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone"?

As of the latest update, St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Murphy Cassone Game Spread +/-1.5 at 3,000% and Completed Match at 55%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $421.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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