Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian

$117.7K Vol
Sep 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Pedro Martinez 100.0%
Valerio Aboian 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set Handicap +/-1.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $117.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $116.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set Handicap +/-1.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set Handicap +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Game Spread +/-5.5 (9,995%), Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set 2 Winner (9,955%), and Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set 2 O/U 8.5 (45%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set 2 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian9995.0%$116.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%9995¢-9895¢
3Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set Handicap +/-1.59995.0%$389995¢-9895¢
4Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Game Spread +/-5.59995.0%$1.2K9995¢-9895¢
5Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set 2 Winner9955.0%9955¢-9855¢
6Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set 2 O/U 8.545.0%45¢55¢
7Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set 2 O/U 9.545.0%45¢55¢
8Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set 2 O/U 10.545.0%45¢55¢
9Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Total Sets: O/U 2.55.0%$21295¢
10Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Match O/U 21.55.0%95¢
11Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Match O/U 22.55.0%95¢
12Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Match O/U 23.55.0%95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pedro Martinez and Valerio Aboian in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pedro Martinez' if Pedro Martinez advances against Valerio Aboian.

This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Pedro Martinez.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 11, 2026

  • 12:06 PM
    0X0xF0e82336B981BCA37Cae04002a3E6398236f904C-1766230442332
    $30.00

    Bought 65.217392 Martinez for Game Spread: Martinez (-5.5) vs Aboian (+5.5) at 0.46

  • 11:53 AM
    HEHejhoop
    $45.60

    Bought 228 Valerio Aboian for Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian at 0.2

  • 11:49 AM
    0X0x5E584658B86169a39ecFDCcf890D8EE181985BF4-1777286053343
    $3.60

    Sold 20 Valerio Aboian for Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian at 0.18

  • 11:32 AM
    SSsstt2028
    $1.00

    Bought 2.564103 Aboian for Set Handicap: Martinez (-1.5) vs Aboian (+1.5) at 0.39

  • 11:31 AM
    MEmetro12
    $57.00

    Bought 100 Aboian for Game Spread: Martinez (-5.5) vs Aboian (+5.5) at 0.57

  • 11:27 AM
    0X0x38abD798E4f62E69F45aaa76124241aAc8C975FF-1761596029573
    $1.66

    Bought 2.024388 Pedro Martinez for Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian at 0.82

  • 11:27 AM
    JOjoshybravo963
    $1.00

    Bought 5.263158 Valerio Aboian for Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian at 0.19

  • 10:57 AM
    BRbronca007
    $30.00

    Bought 37.037036 Pedro Martinez for Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian at 0.81

  • 10:10 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Under 2.5 for Pedro Martinez vs. Valerio Aboian: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.71

  • 09:07 AM
    ASAsikins
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Aboian for Game Spread: Martinez (-5.5) vs Aboian (+5.5) at 0.56

  • 08:14 AM
    STStupidGamble
    $4.05

    Bought 5 Pedro Martinez for Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian at 0.81

  • 08:05 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.234568 Pedro Martinez for Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian at 0.81

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

XA1
xabidaking
Event PnL
-$5,003.59
Volume
$37,320.38
Positions
Valerio Aboian
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
+$2,129.31
Volume
$14,302.45
Positions
Pedro Martinez
UN3
unknownloser1
Event PnL
-$3,174.59
Volume
$13,172.70
Positions
Valerio Aboian
HO4
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$1,202.83
Volume
$12,330.16
Positions
Pedro Martinez
FE5
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$1,621.94
Volume
$11,645.09
Positions
Pedro Martinez
FL6
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$47.24
Volume
$5,231.44
Positions
Pedro Martinez
PO7
PoleBetter
Event PnL
+$95.20
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Valerio Aboian
888
88M
Event PnL
-$435.22
Volume
$4,179.46
Positions
Valerio Aboian

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian"?

As of the latest update, Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and Genoa: Pedro Martinez vs Valerio Aboian Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $117.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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