Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston

$100.5K Vol
Nov 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Matteo Martineau 100.0%
Hugo Gaston 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5 sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $100.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $399.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5 (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston9995.0%$399.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$6809995¢-9895¢
3Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.55.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Martineau and Hugo Gaston in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Matteo Martineau' if Matteo Martineau advances against Hugo Gaston.

This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Matteo Martineau.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 11, 2026

  • 11:43 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanestreet
    $7.40

    Bought 20 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

  • 11:06 AM
    0X0xd2150fc422E8313Bdf2527c92FDB957fE42A757A-1782777074064
    $9.62

    Bought 26 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

  • 10:21 AM
    RYRyancharran47
    $15.00

    Bought 23.4375 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:59 AM
    RORotnosaha
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:52 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.24

    Bought 16 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:19 AM
    EPepistemic
    $37.00

    Bought 100 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

  • 09:16 AM
    ANAnon-2
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:16 AM
    0X0x6Db8C97Cb7eC5c512E051902d8077960517bf7D4-1768407294085
    $10.00

    Bought 15.625 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:00 AM
    ——
    $884.48

    Bought 1382 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.64

  • 09:00 AM
    ——
    $13.23

    Bought 21 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.63

  • 09:00 AM
    ——
    $377.37

    Bought 599 Hugo Gaston for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.63

  • 09:00 AM
    0X0x56f536a014f55cC6F611ead63D3ac3f29337AeE1-1778093511228
    $5.92

    Bought 16 Matteo Martineau for Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston at 0.37

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

RU1
rubykd
Event PnL
-$241.92
Volume
$6,911.93
Positions
Matteo Martineau
TH2
thirdt1me
Event PnL
+$128.39
Volume
$3,668.29
Positions
Hugo Gaston
A03
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
+$1.59
Volume
$2,336.41
Positions
Hugo Gaston
654
6512395314597884
Event PnL
+$70.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
Hugo Gaston
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$6.91
Volume
$1,581.90
Positions
Matteo Martineau
476
0x4738…0211
Event PnL
-$6.58
Volume
$1,316.00
Positions
Matteo Martineau
FL7
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$2.09
Volume
$1,277.87
Positions
Hugo Gaston
N18
n1ck10s
Event PnL
-$11.64
Volume
$776.32
Positions
Matteo Martineau

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston"?

As of the latest update, Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and Orleans: Matteo Martineau vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-1.5 at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $100.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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