Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel

$373.8K Vol
Oct 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Fabian Marozsan 58.5%
Taro Daniel 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel sits in third with 5,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $373.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel (5,450%): Sitting in third place with a 5,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Completed Match (5,000%), and Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-3.5 (1,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner9995.0%$1.8K9995¢-9895¢
2Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.59995.0%$159995¢-9895¢
3Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel5450.0%$344.0K5450¢-5350¢
4Completed Match5000.0%$5.5K5000¢-4900¢
5Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-3.51000.0%$2051000¢-900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Fabian Marozsan and Taro Daniel in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Fabian Marozsan' if Fabian Marozsan advances against Taro Daniel.

This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Fabian Marozsan.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 24, 2026

  • 11:29 PM
    PApapillon1
    $81.47

    Bought 119.808821 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.68

  • 11:05 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.59

    Bought 13.909091 Taro Daniel for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.33

  • 11:04 PM
    MAMarcos9818
    $50.00

    Bought 73.529412 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.68

  • 10:49 PM
    PApaulaoofc
    $8.84

    Bought 13 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.68

  • 10:39 PM
    VIVictory2030
    $7.81

    Bought 11.485293 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.68

  • 10:38 PM
    VIVictory2030
    $33.38

    Bought 49.823528 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 10:38 PM
    VIVictory2030
    $142.93

    Bought 207.144925 Fabian Marozsan for Set 2 Winner: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.69

  • 09:16 PM
    ASASMDIAIDSA
    $300.00

    Bought 447.761193 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 09:10 PM
    ——
    $36.45

    Bought 54.402984 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 09:03 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $26.53

    Bought 39.597015 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 09:01 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $186.86

    Bought 278.895521 Fabian Marozsan for Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.67

  • 08:26 PM
    SJsjdhjnxnsjjdheyygajshjdpolq
    $78.81

    Sold 2627 No for Hangzhou Open: Completed Match: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 0.03

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

OR1
ORI-
Event PnL
+$4,079.91
Volume
$35,048.74
Positions
Taro DanielTaro Daniel
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$55.15
Volume
$13,155.70
Positions
Fabian Marozsan
F13
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
+$1,020.67
Volume
$11,296.93
Positions
Taro Daniel
VE4
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$849.25
Volume
$7,960.96
Positions
Fabian MarozsanFabian MarozsanOver
0X5
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$882.35
Volume
$7,352.94
Positions
Fabian Marozsan
FB6
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$656.05
Volume
$5,704.80
Positions
Fabian Marozsan
887
88M
Event PnL
-$254.97
Volume
$5,099.43
Positions
Fabian Marozsan
9F8
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
-$463.47
Volume
$4,030.18
Positions
Fabian Marozsan

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel"?

As of the latest update, Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 9,995% and Hangzhou Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Taro Daniel at 5,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $373.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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