Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri

$331.9K Vol
Sep 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Max Alcala Gurri 61.0%
Pavel Lagutin 39.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,150% chance of winning. Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri sits in third with 4,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $331.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri (4,150%): Sitting in third place with a 4,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
2Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.55000.0%$5.9K5000¢-4900¢
3Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri4150.0%$384.0K4150¢-4050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Max Alcala Gurri in the Seville, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Max Alcala Gurri.

This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Pavel Lagutin.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 10, 2026

  • 10:32 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.67

  • 10:32 AM
    MAmarigliano
    $5.00

    Bought 7.462687 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.67

  • 10:31 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.492536 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.67

  • 10:07 AM
    BEbetfun...
    $10.20

    Bought 30 Pavel Lagutin for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.34

  • 09:05 AM
    BEBereal1
    $10.00

    Bought 30.303031 Pavel Lagutin for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.33

  • 06:18 AM
    1010n1s
    $10.00

    Bought 30.303031 Pavel Lagutin for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.33

  • 03:53 AM
    MAmarigliano
    $3.00

    Bought 5.357143 Lagutin for Set Handicap: Gurri (-1.5) vs Lagutin (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 03:52 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Lagutin for Set Handicap: Gurri (-1.5) vs Lagutin (+1.5) at 0.56

  • 03:52 AM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 Lagutin for Set Handicap: Gurri (-1.5) vs Lagutin (+1.5) at 0.56

Sep 9, 2026

  • 05:31 PM
    0X0x5E584658B86169a39ecFDCcf890D8EE181985BF4-1777286053343
    $3.80

    Bought 5.42857 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.7

  • 04:02 PM
    SEseek333
    $3.30

    Bought 5 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.66

  • 03:59 PM
    0X0x08E3B589CA3F1E81F7D6fa1C6E01F62B71E5B53D-1782729005701
    $5.18

    Bought 7.848485 Max Alcala Gurri for Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 0.66

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

781
0x78be…bde0
Event PnL
+$13,357.13
Volume
$46,299.17
Positions
Pavel Lagutin
XA2
xabidaking
Event PnL
-$2,254.42
Volume
$44,285.65
Positions
Max Alcala Gurri
GA3
Gambler661
Event PnL
+$8,231.96
Volume
$38,992.76
Positions
Pavel Lagutin
RN4
RN1
Event PnL
-$18,882.21
Volume
$25,990.10
Positions
Max Alcala Gurri
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$10,233.03
Volume
$11,411.27
Positions
Pavel Lagutin
166
0x1602…9012
Event PnL
-$2,848.39
Volume
$11,096.68
Positions
Max Alcala Gurri
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$3,645.32
Volume
$10,159.95
Positions
Pavel Lagutin
328
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$15,524.31
Volume
$9,873.44
Positions
Max Alcala Gurri

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,150% win probability, followed by Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri Game Spread +/-3.5 at 5,000% and Seville: Pavel Lagutin vs Max Alcala Gurri at 4,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $331.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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