Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini

$158.1K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Matteo Berrettini 97.7%
Aleksandar Kovacevic 2.3%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 23.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $158.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 21.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 23.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Game Spread +/-2.5 (9,995%), Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 22.5 (9,950%), and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Game Spread +/-2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match9995.0%$3.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 21.59995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 23.59995.0%$59995¢-9895¢
4Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Game Spread +/-2.59995.0%$2709995¢-9895¢
5Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 22.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
6Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini5.0%$162.1K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Matteo Berrettini in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Kovacevic' if Aleksandar Kovacevic advances against Matteo Berrettini.

This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Aleksandar Kovacevic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 7, 2026

  • 12:45 AM
    0X0x62017Eb6f53F36ee542446316aFDF76e12Ed622c-1776130203489
    $45.00

    Bought 70.3125 Matteo Berrettini for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.64

  • 12:42 AM
    DIDingwin
    $131.90

    Bought 366.38 Aleksandar Kovacevic for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.36

  • 12:03 AM
    REredcame1
    $5.00

    Bought 13.888889 Aleksandar Kovacevic for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.36

Oct 6, 2026

  • 11:37 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $480.32

    Bought 1372.35 Aleksandar Kovacevic for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.35

  • 11:21 PM
    ——
    $3.00

    Bought 4.545455 Matteo Berrettini for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.66

  • 11:16 PM
    GOgoodgooodgood
    $264.00

    Bought 400 Matteo Berrettini for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.66

  • 11:12 PM
    DOdougieswim
    $21.48

    Bought 32.55 Matteo Berrettini for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.66

  • 11:06 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.66

    Bought 7.28125 Under 2.5 for Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Matteo Berrettini: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.64

  • 10:30 PM
    CBCbrojasg
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575758 Matteo Berrettini for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.66

  • 10:22 PM
    GRGreenCrow
    $33.00

    Bought 50 Matteo Berrettini for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.66

  • 10:01 PM
    SVSvanHelsing
    $20.00

    Bought 30.3 Matteo Berrettini for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.66

  • 09:39 PM
    WHWhoGonnaSaveTheWorld
    $6.89

    Sold 10.6 Matteo Berrettini for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DI1
Dingwin
Event PnL
+$17.60
Volume
$3,517.47
Positions
Aleksandar Kovacevic
K52
k56
Event PnL
-$109.57
Volume
$1,717.21
Positions
Matteo Berrettini
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$1.50
Volume
$1,672.35
Positions
Aleksandar Kovacevic
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$75.82
Volume
$1,163.85
Positions
Aleksandar KovacevicOver 2.5
TE5
tenet-bot
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Matteo Berrettini
Y36
Y33
Event PnL
-$22.56
Volume
$902.38
Positions
Matteo Berrettini
N17
n1ck10s
Event PnL
-$3.44
Volume
$687.50
Positions
Matteo Berrettini
CA8
0xCad2…0741
Event PnL
-$3.13
Volume
$625.00
Positions
Matteo Berrettini

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 21.5 at 9,995% and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Matteo Berrettini Match O/U 23.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $158.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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