
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,600% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,650%, while US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 sits in third with 5,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $192.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,650¢.
- US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 (5,700%): Sitting in third place with a 5,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,500%), US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-2.5 (5,400%), and US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.5 (5,100%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 2 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 6650.0% | $2.1K | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 3 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 | 5700.0% | $40 | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 4 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 5 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-2.5 | 5400.0% | $36 | 5400¢ | -5300¢ |
| 6 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.5 | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 7 | Completed Match | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 4600.0% | $270 | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 19 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 20 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.5 | 4450.0% | — | 4450¢ | -4350¢ |
| 21 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner | 4400.0% | — | 4400¢ | -4300¢ |
| 22 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner | 4350.0% | — | 4350¢ | -4250¢ |
| 23 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | 3650.0% | $190.0K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 24 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 2900.0% | — | 2900¢ | -2800¢ |
| 25 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 2750.0% | — | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 26 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Learner Tien.
This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Karen Khachanov.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 6, 2026
- 09:01 PMBObonneville$10.00
Bought 16.129031 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.62
- 08:37 PMMAmatthematike$3.00
Bought 4.838707 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.62
- 07:58 PMBABalsalm$1.00
Bought 2.564101 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.39
- 05:41 PM——$81.60
Bought 214.736841 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38
- 05:41 PM——$0.01
Bought 0.02 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38
- 05:37 PMUPUpTheBlues$10.83
Bought 28.5 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38
- 05:16 PM0X0x25D5DabFF0E927F68D1753B527dA4A6795337076-1761187477520$5.00
Bought 13.157893 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38
- 04:41 PMMImirai.chi$1.00
Bought 1.5873 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.63
- 04:28 PMNInigiri99$48.64
Bought 128 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38
- 04:18 PMTATassos74$20.05
Bought 36.454544 Tien for Game Spread: Tien (-2.5) vs Khachanov (+2.5) at 0.55
- 04:18 PMNEneutralwave23$7.18
Bought 11.396824 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.63
- 04:14 PMNEneutralwave23$93.16
Bought 147.873013 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.63
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien"?
As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,600% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 at 6,650% and US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 at 5,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $192.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
