US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien

$192.5K Vol
Sep 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Learner Tien 63.5%
Karen Khachanov 36.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,600% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,650%, while US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 sits in third with 5,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $192.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,650¢.
  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 (5,700%): Sitting in third place with a 5,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 (5,500%), US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-2.5 (5,400%), and US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.5 (5,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Completed Match are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.57600.0%7600¢-7500¢
2US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.56650.0%$2.1K6650¢-6550¢
3US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.55700.0%$405700¢-5600¢
4US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.55500.0%5500¢-5400¢
5US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-2.55400.0%$365400¢-5300¢
6US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.55100.0%5100¢-5000¢
7Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.54600.0%$2704600¢-4500¢
19US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
20US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.54450.0%4450¢-4350¢
21US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner4400.0%4400¢-4300¢
22US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner4350.0%4350¢-4250¢
23US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien3650.0%$190.0K3650¢-3550¢
24US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.52900.0%2900¢-2800¢
25US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
26US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.52300.0%2300¢-2200¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Learner Tien.

This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Karen Khachanov.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 6, 2026

  • 09:01 PM
    BObonneville
    $10.00

    Bought 16.129031 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.62

  • 08:37 PM
    MAmatthematike
    $3.00

    Bought 4.838707 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.62

  • 07:58 PM
    BABalsalm
    $1.00

    Bought 2.564101 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.39

  • 05:41 PM
    $81.60

    Bought 214.736841 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38

  • 05:41 PM
    $0.01

    Bought 0.02 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38

  • 05:37 PM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $10.83

    Bought 28.5 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38

  • 05:16 PM
    0X0x25D5DabFF0E927F68D1753B527dA4A6795337076-1761187477520
    $5.00

    Bought 13.157893 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38

  • 04:41 PM
    MImirai.chi
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5873 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.63

  • 04:28 PM
    NInigiri99
    $48.64

    Bought 128 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.38

  • 04:18 PM
    TATassos74
    $20.05

    Bought 36.454544 Tien for Game Spread: Tien (-2.5) vs Khachanov (+2.5) at 0.55

  • 04:18 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $7.18

    Bought 11.396824 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.63

  • 04:14 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $93.16

    Bought 147.873013 Learner Tien for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien at 0.63

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

0F1
0F62
Event PnL
-$41.45
Volume
$8,291.34
Positions
Learner Tien
RA2
RanaAmariPredicts
Event PnL
+$2.84
Volume
$5,703.39
Positions
Karen Khachanov
993
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$17.11
Volume
$3,421.00
Positions
Karen Khachanov
WO4
worldclassdegen
Event PnL
-$9.31
Volume
$1,862.83
Positions
Learner Tien
385
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$3.75
Volume
$1,834.76
Positions
Learner Tien
GC6
GC-P
Event PnL
+$7.50
Volume
$1,500.00
Positions
Karen Khachanov
LI7
Lilybaeum
Event PnL
+$0.55
Volume
$838.02
Positions
Karen Khachanov
JA8
Jasonha
Event PnL
-$4.00
Volume
$800.00
Positions
Over 3.5

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,600% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 at 6,650% and US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.5 at 5,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $192.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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