US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi

$38K Vol
Sep 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karen Khachanov 66.5%
Benjamin Bonzi 33.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,850% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi follows in second place at 6,650%, while US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 sits in third with 6,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $38K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 (7,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi (6,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi maintains a 6,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,650¢.
  • US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 (6,550%): Sitting in third place with a 6,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner (6,150%), US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner (6,100%), and US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 Winner (6,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 36.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.57850.0%7850¢-7750¢
2US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi6650.0%$31.9K6650¢-6550¢
3US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.56550.0%$5426550¢-6450¢
4US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 Winner6150.0%6150¢-6050¢
5US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 Winner6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
6US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 Winner6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
7US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 36.55800.0%$4785800¢-5700¢
8US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 9.55750.0%5750¢-5650¢
9US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Game Spread +/-3.55250.0%$3975250¢-5150¢
10US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 38.55200.0%5200¢-5100¢
11Completed Match5000.0%$1.1K5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%$5055000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Match O/U 40.54600.0%$1074600¢-4500¢
24US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 10.53250.0%3250¢-3150¢
25US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 4.52800.0%2800¢-2700¢
26US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-2.52700.0%$2.0K2700¢-2600¢
27US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-1.52150.0%$5052150¢-2050¢
28US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set Handicap +/-2.5850.0%$2.0K850¢-750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Benjamin Bonzi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Benjamin Bonzi.

This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Karen Khachanov.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 09:12 AM
    0X0x25f332C3163D9906B773da7a4eCF09b68E11d1Ab-1772975274187
    $10.00

    Bought 27.777776 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 09:12 AM
    0X0xCc6b29A00A01519c26EF2f40283A5e6159D71b16-1774803167604
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777776 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 08:58 AM
    DADarkMagician0700
    $5.00

    Bought 13.89 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 08:53 AM
    CACarlos10
    $1,000.00

    Bought 1538.461537 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 08:27 AM
    NUNutaek
    $1.85

    Bought 5.138887 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 08:25 AM
    $39.74

    Bought 76.415093 Bonzi for Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) at 0.52

  • 08:25 AM
    0X0x8C996043E75D3cCd7A59a7072Ef832AC1A67ebdc-1779774789228
    $11.88

    Bought 33 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

  • 08:14 AM
    0X0xEc9f344ac6B942BF2A8bb36Ebc0294a73Cd9e57b-1783498927827
    $1,500.00

    Bought 2307.692305 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 07:53 AM
    TDtdmtdmtdmtdm
    $15.00

    Bought 23.076922 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 07:53 AM
    RARainRain12
    $40.00

    Bought 61.53846 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 07:50 AM
    MAMarki7890
    $3.00

    Bought 4.615382 Karen Khachanov for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.65

  • 07:26 AM
    RCRcolacola
    $1.80

    Bought 5 Benjamin Bonzi for US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 0.36

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PL1
pltrkr111
Event PnL
+$1,971.43
Volume
$5,714.28
Positions
Benjamin Bonzi
0X2
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$0.15
Volume
$5,301.78
Positions
Benjamin Bonzi
AG3
AGUGava
Event PnL
-$153.45
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Bonzi
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$2,735.26
Volume
$4,175.98
Positions
Karen Khachanov
655
6512395314597884
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Karen Khachanov
SE6
sentrio
Event PnL
+$11.66
Volume
$2,872.46
Positions
Benjamin Bonzi
EC7
0xEc9f…7827
Event PnL
-$11.54
Volume
$2,307.69
Positions
Karen Khachanov
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$40.13
Volume
$2,097.84
Positions
Benjamin BonziKhachanovBonzi

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,850% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi at 6,650% and US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzi Total Sets: O/U 3.5 at 6,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $38K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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