BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune

$543.5K Vol
Nov 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Holger Rune 100.0%
Miomir Kecmanovic 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 22.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 23.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $543.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 22.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $291 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 23.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Game Spread +/-3.5 (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Game Spread +/-3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 22.59995.0%$2919995¢-9895¢
2BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 23.59995.0%$2279995¢-9895¢
3BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune5.0%$845.0K5¢95¢
4BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Game Spread +/-3.55.0%$2615¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Holger Rune in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 1:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Holger Rune.

This market will resolve to 'Holger Rune' if Holger Rune advances against Miomir Kecmanovic.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 11, 2026

  • 01:03 PM
    NAnazarrx
    $4.88

    Bought 10.608696 Holger Rune for Set Handicap: Holger Rune (-1.5) vs Miomir Kecmanovic (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 01:00 PM
    BUBunter.Hiden
    $20.00

    Bought 28.169013 Holger Rune for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune at 0.71

  • 12:40 PM
    SASanago
    $5.00

    Bought 7.042251 Holger Rune for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune at 0.71

  • 12:19 PM
    KRKryptoRadioPL
    $10.00

    Bought 14.084506 Holger Rune for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune at 0.71

  • 12:16 PM
    NInigiri99
    $10.58

    Bought 23 Holger Rune for Set Handicap: Holger Rune (-1.5) vs Miomir Kecmanovic (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 12:04 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Miomir Kecmanovic for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune at 0.3

  • 12:03 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 3.333334 Miomir Kecmanovic for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune at 0.3

  • 11:58 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $1.74

    Bought 6 Miomir Kecmanovic for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune at 0.29

  • 11:55 AM
    CHchangchen3
    $22.73

    Bought 56.825 Over 2.5 for Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Holger Rune: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.4

  • 11:53 AM
    JOjoaopedrolayback
    $5.00

    Bought 7.936508 Under 2.5 for Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Holger Rune: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.63

  • 11:53 AM
    DEdenita
    $48.46

    Bought 76.92 Under 2.5 for Miomir Kecmanovic vs. Holger Rune: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.63

  • 11:23 AM
    MEMetapoli
    $40.00

    Bought 56.338029 Holger Rune for BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune at 0.71

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

771
771854706
Event PnL
-$6.54
Volume
$2,800.00
Positions
Miomir Kecmanovic
DA2
darkumbreon88
Event PnL
+$12.60
Volume
$2,520.79
Positions
Holger Rune
C73
0xc7ED…1612
Event PnL
+$8.45
Volume
$2,422.74
Positions
Holger Rune
MN4
mntsdxs
Event PnL
-$12.03
Volume
$2,406.60
Positions
Miomir Kecmanovic
IS5
ismail40
Event PnL
+$11.36
Volume
$2,271.40
Positions
Miomir Kecmanovic
5C6
0x5c54…f1d2
Event PnL
+$183.80
Volume
$1,422.74
Positions
Holger Rune
MO7
morfaa
Event PnL
-$6.93
Volume
$1,385.31
Positions
Holger Rune
108
0x1000…00ba
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$1,349.04
Positions
Holger Rune

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune"?

As of the latest update, BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 22.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune Match O/U 23.5 at 9,995% and BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Holger Rune at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $543.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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