
China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $729.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Completed Match (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $11.9K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-1.5 (5%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-1.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | $11.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 | 9995.0% | $15 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino | 5.0% | $716.5K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 4 | China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $255 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Adrian Mannarino in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Adrian Mannarino.
This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Miomir Kecmanovic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 28, 2026
- 12:09 PMLIlifeonrock$51.24
Sold 104.58 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.49
- 12:09 PMUPUpTheBlues$22.16
Bought 44.32 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PM0X0x93078B5DD1C34D0F288d2F51B23f1347520D9dA3-1775700757892$5.20
Bought 10.4 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PMPBPBot-10$2.55
Bought 5 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.51
- 12:09 PMTHthestingsnake$15.60
Bought 31.2 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PMTHthestingsnake$152.04
Sold 304.07 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.5
- 12:09 PM——$13.78
Bought 31.31 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.44
- 12:09 PMDIdid-i-ask-for-the-physio$176.00
Bought 400 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.44
- 12:09 PMJIjiffyjoker66888$2.80
Sold 5 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.56
- 12:09 PMADAdelius$933.33
Sold 1666.66 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.56
- 12:09 PMCOCon1trol$2.00
Sold 3.57 Miomir Kecmanovic for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.56
- 12:08 PMM1M123888$10.00
Bought 20.408164 Adrian Mannarino for China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 0.49
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino"?
As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 at 9,995% and China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $729.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
