US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

$57.6K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Rafael Jodar 88.5%
Thanasi Kokkinakis 11.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,850% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 follows in second place at 7,900%, while US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner sits in third with 7,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $57.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis (8,850%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,850¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $54.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 (7,900%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 maintains a 7,900% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,900¢.
  • US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner (7,700%): Sitting in third place with a 7,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner (7,700%), US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 Winner (7,350%), and US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Game Spread +/-6.5 (6,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis8850.0%$54.1K8850¢-8750¢
2US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.57900.0%$4757900¢-7800¢
3US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner7700.0%$1117700¢-7600¢
4US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 Winner7700.0%7700¢-7600¢
5US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 Winner7350.0%7350¢-7250¢
6US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Game Spread +/-6.56300.0%6300¢-6200¢
7US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 8.56100.0%6100¢-6000¢
8US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-2.55550.0%$2.2K5550¢-5450¢
9Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 9.54350.0%4350¢-4250¢
21US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Total Sets: O/U 3.54250.0%$184250¢-4150¢
22US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 36.54200.0%$3924200¢-4100¢
23US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 38.53050.0%3050¢-2950¢
24US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 O/U 10.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
25US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Match O/U 40.52500.0%2500¢-2400¢
26US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Total Sets: O/U 4.51500.0%$2831500¢-1400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Thanasi Kokkinakis in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Thanasi Kokkinakis.

This market will resolve to 'Thanasi Kokkinakis' if Thanasi Kokkinakis advances against Rafael Jodar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 1, 2026

  • 08:39 AM
    KRkratos00
    $17.80

    Bought 20 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 08:34 AM
    0X0xF7C3b6CB4BADC158f44CEF43364701D3A393EaC2-1778273249266
    $1.10

    Bought 2.340424 Kokkinakis for Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Kokkinakis (+2.5) at 0.47

  • 08:32 AM
    $14.57

    Bought 31 Kokkinakis for Set Handicap: Jodar (-2.5) vs Kokkinakis (+2.5) at 0.47

  • 08:31 AM
    MAmatthematike
    $5.00

    Bought 5.617972 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 08:26 AM
    0X0x376FBec636b920eB563C826750EB498728850Cb6-1764010232848
    $1.00

    Bought 1.12359 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 07:57 AM
    $300.00

    Bought 337.078645 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 07:41 AM
    FOfORZEN
    $17.80

    Bought 20 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 06:58 AM
    0F0F62
    $1,780.00

    Bought 2000 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 06:57 AM
    02027k
    $35.60

    Bought 40 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 06:35 AM
    EMEmlBrg
    $4.99

    Bought 41.583332 Thanasi Kokkinakis for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.12

  • 06:33 AM
    0X0xF7C3b6CB4BADC158f44CEF43364701D3A393EaC2-1778273249266
    $2.00

    Bought 2.24719 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

  • 06:33 AM
    OLoliverlukschander
    $5.00

    Bought 5.617976 Rafael Jodar for US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis at 0.89

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BR1
Brimoz
Event PnL
-$304.31
Volume
$17,353.68
Positions
Thanasi Kokkinakis
CU2
Cuco84
Event PnL
+$44.08
Volume
$12,479.16
Positions
Rafael Jodar
JM3
jmcmil
Event PnL
-$198.44
Volume
$5,963.92
Positions
Thanasi Kokkinakis
NM4
NM-P
Event PnL
+$5.40
Volume
$5,414.63
Positions
Rafael Jodar
YE5
yesmate
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$4,999.96
Positions
Thanasi Kokkinakis
GA6
Gaditima
Event PnL
+$121.98
Volume
$4,485.00
Positions
Rafael Jodar
DI7
did-i-ask-for-the-physio
Event PnL
-$53.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Thanasi Kokkinakis
0F8
0F62
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Rafael Jodar

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,850% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set Handicap +/-1.5 at 7,900% and US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakis Set 1 Winner at 7,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $57.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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