Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov

$161.3K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Marat Sharipov 62.5%
Ilya Ivashka 37.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,950% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Game Spread +/-0.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $161.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov (5,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $158.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Game Spread +/-0.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Game Spread +/-0.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov5950.0%$158.8K5950¢-5850¢
2Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
3Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Game Spread +/-0.55000.0%$45000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Marat Sharipov in the Shanghai, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Marat Sharipov.

This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Ilya Ivashka.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$22.90
Volume
$4,579.03
Positions
Marat Sharipov
AR2
Arcaine
Event PnL
-$80.39
Volume
$4,231.32
Positions
Ilya Ivashka
383
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$2,999.99
Positions
Ilya Ivashka
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$11.40
Volume
$2,280.68
Positions
Ilya Ivashka
IS5
isco23
Event PnL
-$11.23
Volume
$2,245.88
Positions
Marat Sharipov
CE6
0xCe3e…9747
Event PnL
+$6.10
Volume
$1,219.99
Positions
Marat Sharipov
9F7
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$24.52
Volume
$980.74
Positions
Marat Sharipov
CL8
clownly
Event PnL
+$9.07
Volume
$599.97
Positions
Marat Sharipov

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov"?

As of the latest update, Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,950% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and Shanghai: Ilya Ivashka vs Marat Sharipov Game Spread +/-0.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $161.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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