China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov

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Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karen Khachanov 57.0%
Hubert Hurkacz 43.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,200% chance of winning. China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,000%, while China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set Handicap +/-1.5 (5,000%), and China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Game Spread +/-1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
2China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
8China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
9China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
10China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 8.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
11China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 9.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
12China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
13China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 21.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
14China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 22.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Match O/U 23.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Karen Khachanov in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Karen Khachanov.

This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,200% win probability, followed by China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 1 Winner at 5,000% and China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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