China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea

$260.3K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hubert Hurkacz 80.5%
Arthur Gea 19.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.5 follows in second place at 9,950%, while China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $260.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 Winner (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.5 (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.5 maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea (7,850%), China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.5 (6,750%), and China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 21.5 (6,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 Winner9950.0%$2.4K9950¢-9850¢
2China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.59950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
3China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.59950.0%$919950¢-9850¢
4China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea7850.0%$398.9K7850¢-7750¢
5China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 22.56750.0%$1.8K6750¢-6650¢
6China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 21.56250.0%$206250¢-6150¢
7China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 Winner5700.0%—5700¢-5600¢
8China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Match O/U 23.55500.0%$4185500¢-5400¢
9China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set Handicap +/-1.55500.0%$6.0K5500¢-5400¢
10Completed Match5000.0%$1.9K5000¢-4900¢
11China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%$1185000¢-4900¢
15China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Total Sets: O/U 2.54150.0%$1134150¢-4050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Arthur Gea in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Arthur Gea.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 2, 2026

  • 12:30 AM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $5,801.77

    Bought 13492.49 Arthur Gea for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.43

  • 12:14 AM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $5.00

    Bought 8.62069 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.58

Oct 1, 2026

  • 11:31 PM
    0X0x7FfD66b4F6e05C189121b9C4715B48c8fa5C08Fa-1778424760882
    $11.79

    Sold 20.69 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.57

  • 11:29 PM
    SHshaw
    $3,268.00

    Bought 7600 Arthur Gea for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.43

  • 10:31 PM
    XXXxxX.89
    $1.40

    Bought 2.413792 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.58

  • 10:18 PM
    0X0x949A26cC421829f58b2f8F71aA663ccC219e748b-1778142974573
    $6.30

    Bought 10.862069 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.58

  • 10:00 PM
    PApaulaoofc
    $97.94

    Bought 168.86 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.58

  • 09:57 PM
    0X0x7FfD66b4F6e05C189121b9C4715B48c8fa5C08Fa-1778424760882
    $12.00

    Bought 20.689654 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.58

  • 09:51 PM
    0X0x7FfD66b4F6e05C189121b9C4715B48c8fa5C08Fa-1778424760882
    $11.79

    Sold 20.68 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.57

  • 09:46 PM
    JOjomantsago
    $696.00

    Bought 1200 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.58

  • 09:43 PM
    SHShblooz
    $2.00

    Bought 3.448276 Hubert Hurkacz for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.58

  • 09:34 PM
    MUmuymaurice
    $1.00

    Bought 2.325582 Arthur Gea for China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea at 0.43

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FA1
fastball67
Event PnL
+$100.03
Volume
$19,999.98
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
RA2
RanaAmariPredicts
Event PnL
+$8.98
Volume
$17,580.82
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$67.48
Volume
$13,492.49
Positions
Arthur Gea
SH4
shaw
Event PnL
+$38.00
Volume
$7,600.00
Positions
Arthur Gea
OK5
okekispop
Event PnL
-$16.86
Volume
$3,372.09
Positions
Arthur Gea
RO6
roddrriisr4
Event PnL
-$14.88
Volume
$2,976.74
Positions
Arthur Gea
0X7
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
-$11.63
Volume
$2,325.58
Positions
Arthur Gea
PL8
pltrkr111
Event PnL
-$11.63
Volume
$2,325.58
Positions
Arthur Gea

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea"?

As of the latest update, China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 9.5 at 9,950% and China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea Set 1 O/U 10.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $260.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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