Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth

$82.6K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hubert Hurkacz 67.5%
James Duckworth 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 9.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner follows in second place at 6,800%, while Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth sits in third with 6,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $82.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 9.5 (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 9.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner (6,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner maintains a 6,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,800¢.
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth (6,750%): Sitting in third place with a 6,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 Winner (6,600%), Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 21.5 (6,400%), and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 22.5 (5,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 9.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
2Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner6800.0%—6800¢-6700¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth6750.0%$83.1K6750¢-6650¢
4Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 Winner6600.0%—6600¢-6500¢
5Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 21.56400.0%—6400¢-6300¢
6Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 22.55300.0%$2605300¢-5200¢
7Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 8.55000.0%$765000¢-4900¢
8Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set Handicap +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Completed Match4950.0%$2674950¢-4850¢
10Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 O/U 9.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
11Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 O/U 8.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
12Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 2 O/U 10.54850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
13Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Game Spread +/-3.54500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
14Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Match O/U 23.54400.0%—4400¢-4300¢
15Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 10.54050.0%$24050¢-3950¢
16Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Total Sets: O/U 2.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and James Duckworth in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against James Duckworth.

This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Hubert Hurkacz.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 01:05 AM
    0X0xb1CE8e48340Ea58084E88a82F802F661147CC056-1769971600826
    $7.17

    Bought 10.544118 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 12:57 AM
    NGNgadestroyer
    $4.98

    Bought 7.435146 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.67

  • 12:15 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 5.588236 James Duckworth for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.34

  • 12:00 AM
    GAGaditima
    $23.12

    Bought 34 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

Oct 5, 2026

  • 11:55 PM
    ——
    $46.63

    Bought 137.147059 James Duckworth for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.34

  • 11:13 PM
    0X0x4f68691eeeE09f0602bAa8448518F32A1Dc0d0f9-1770489559448
    $3.30

    Sold 5 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.66

  • 11:13 PM
    0X0x4f68691eeeE09f0602bAa8448518F32A1Dc0d0f9-1770489559448
    $3.40

    Bought 5 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 10:18 PM
    HEHevWei
    $24.55

    Bought 36.102206 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.68

  • 10:11 PM
    AJAJXgroup
    $34.06

    Bought 50.835821 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.67

  • 10:01 PM
    AJAJXgroup
    $10.22

    Bought 15.25373 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.67

  • 09:51 PM
    AJAJXgroup
    $34.06

    Bought 50.835821 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.67

  • 09:43 PM
    DFdfdeath
    $6.70

    Bought 10 Hubert Hurkacz for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

OM1
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$53.71
Volume
$15,569.83
Positions
James Duckworth
NO2
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$67.45
Volume
$8,725.18
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
YE3
yesmate
Event PnL
+$38.50
Volume
$7,700.78
Positions
James Duckworth
KI4
kingflop
Event PnL
+$1.95
Volume
$6,436.77
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
MI5
mindblower
Event PnL
-$31.00
Volume
$5,041.00
Positions
James Duckworth
GA6
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$4.71
Volume
$4,923.07
Positions
Hubert Hurkacz
AS7
astapzippo
Event PnL
+$31.87
Volume
$3,456.55
Positions
James Duckworth
BB8
BBX1GbDS011
Event PnL
-$33.73
Volume
$3,413.77
Positions
James Duckworth

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth"?

As of the latest update, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 O/U 9.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth Set 1 Winner at 6,800% and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs James Duckworth at 6,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $82.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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