Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

$419.4K Vol
Sep 22, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Naoya Honda 100.0%
Nikoloz Basilashvili 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Nikoloz Basilashvili is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,000% chance of winning. Naoya Honda follows in second place at 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $419.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili (5,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Nikoloz Basilashvili is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Naoya Honda (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Naoya Honda maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Nikoloz Basilashvili5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
2Naoya Honda5000.0%5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Naoya Honda and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Naoya Honda' if Naoya Honda advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili.

This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Naoya Honda.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 15, 2026

  • 11:15 PM
    BIbigsmoke42
    $18.45

    Bought 26.357143 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.7

  • 08:52 PM
    0X0x34042EE8073B0e30c58C29808e193F90EAB03a93-1778921195605
    $20.00

    Bought 64.51613 Naoya Honda for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.31

  • 04:12 PM
    KEkeatle
    $1.00

    Sold 2 Naoya Honda for Set Handicap: Nikoloz Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Naoya Honda (+1.5) at 0.5

  • 04:04 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $4.14

    Bought 6 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.69

  • 04:03 PM
    DADanshan11
    $10.06

    Bought 14.579709 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.69

  • 03:48 PM
    DADanshan11
    $10.06

    Bought 14.579709 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.69

  • 03:32 PM
    ALAlvurdi
    $47.22

    Sold 69.44 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.68

  • 03:29 PM
    FVfvckjumpjanes
    $15.00

    Bought 21.739129 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.69

  • 03:22 PM
    FLFlipso007
    $30.00

    Bought 43.478261 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.69

  • 03:15 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $4.83

    Bought 7 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.69

  • 03:14 PM
    DADanshan11
    $9.39

    Bought 13.608696 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.69

  • 03:14 PM
    BIBillBenter2026
    $6.21

    Bought 9 Nikoloz Basilashvili for Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

F11
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
-$343.93
Volume
$3,312.13
Positions
Naoya Honda
VE2
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$335.94
Volume
$3,212.13
Positions
Nikoloz Basilashvili
SI3
simbich
Event PnL
+$5.00
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Nikoloz Basilashvili
AL4
alexma11224
Event PnL
+$0.29
Volume
$9.44
Positions
Naoya Honda
RA5
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
-$0.20
Volume
$8.22
Positions
Nikoloz Basilashvili
HA6
Hacksaw21
Event PnL
-$0.20
Volume
$6.72
Positions
Nikoloz Basilashvili
AL7
AlexisIZL2
Event PnL
+$0.11
Volume
$3.77
Positions
Naoya Honda
LF8
Lfg689
Event PnL
-$0.03
Volume
$1.72
Positions
Naoya Honda

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili"?

As of the latest update, Nikoloz Basilashvili leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,000% win probability, followed by Naoya Honda at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $419.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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