Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski

$80.4K Vol
Oct 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Philip Henning 76.5%
Maks Kasnikowski 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,700% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,250%, while Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $80.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski (7,700%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,700¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $80.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), and Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski7700.0%$80.0K7700¢-7600¢
2Completed Match5250.0%$3925250¢-5150¢
3Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 21.55000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
9Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 22.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Match O/U 23.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Maks Kasnikowski in the Villena, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 6:30AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Maks Kasnikowski.

This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Philip Henning.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 12:59 PM
    JIJimmyman132
    $57.00

    Bought 100 Maks Kasnikowski for Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.57

  • 12:59 PM
    JIJimmyman132
    $85.50

    Bought 150 Maks Kasnikowski for Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.57

  • 12:15 PM
    SMSmart-Fox
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77193 Maks Kasnikowski for Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.57

  • 11:21 AM
    HUHUB-1
    $3.60

    Sold 120 No for Villena: Completed Match: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.03

  • 11:18 AM
    HUHUB-1
    $117.60

    Bought 120 No for Villena: Completed Match: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.98

  • 11:00 AM
    PAPalaBet
    $100.05

    Bought 175.522455 Maks Kasnikowski for Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.57

  • 10:51 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $0.25

    Sold 25 No for Villena: Completed Match: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.01

  • 10:48 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $23.50

    Bought 25 No for Villena: Completed Match: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.94

  • 10:47 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $0.25

    Sold 25 No for Villena: Completed Match: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.01

  • 10:45 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $23.50

    Bought 25 No for Villena: Completed Match: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.94

  • 10:44 AM
    SDsdsvshub-2
    $0.20

    Sold 20 No for Villena: Completed Match: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.01

  • 10:43 AM
    HOhobo69
    $225.00

    Bought 500 Philip Henning for Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski at 0.45

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

321
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$6,157.24
Volume
$23,235.91
Positions
Philip Henning
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$3,264.07
Volume
$13,825.02
Positions
Maks Kasnikowski
F13
0xf12f…3239
Event PnL
-$2,151.27
Volume
$5,619.69
Positions
Maks Kasnikowski
RO4
rogerveer
Event PnL
-$1,653.20
Volume
$5,611.64
Positions
Maks Kasnikowski
AL5
alpheclabs
Event PnL
+$1,493.30
Volume
$3,846.36
Positions
Philip Henning
656
6512395314597884
Event PnL
+$196.27
Volume
$3,543.70
Positions
Philip Henning
OM7
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$3,063.87
Positions
Maks Kasnikowski
D98
0xD9E0…05f2
Event PnL
+$1,070.91
Volume
$3,036.33
Positions
Philip Henning

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski"?

As of the latest update, Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,700% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,250% and Villena: Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $80.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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