Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt

$172.7K Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Lloyd Harris 100.0%
Alex Bolt 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Alex Bolt is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,050% chance of winning. Lloyd Harris follows in second place at 4,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $172.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Alex Bolt (5,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Alex Bolt is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Lloyd Harris (4,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Lloyd Harris maintains a 4,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 4,950¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Alex Bolt5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
2Lloyd Harris4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lloyd Harris and Alex Bolt in the Jingshan, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Lloyd Harris' if Lloyd Harris advances against Alex Bolt.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Bolt' if Alex Bolt advances against Lloyd Harris.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 12:39 AM
    HOhonduraslover
    $7.92

    Bought 9.428568 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84

Oct 2, 2026

  • 09:40 PM
    ——
    $8.00

    Bought 9.523806 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84

  • 09:38 PM
    0X0x9b6E8946dC2c6B7c1b05b92fC0Cd4C2176CdE478-1780658713422
    $5.00

    Bought 5.952381 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84

  • 09:33 PM
    0X0xb0fFD402eFA450104b4574d4bbdCB490Ccb7865C-1739228095976
    $3.22

    Bought 3.833331 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.84

  • 09:20 PM
    0X0xAff1b5E12F494089BD956248046A12842EccB691-1790858343755
    $1.23

    Sold 7.71 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.16

  • 09:09 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $41.30

    Bought 242.941177 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.17

  • 09:08 PM
    PRprofitlaw
    $1.00

    Bought 5.882353 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.17

  • 08:55 PM
    STStefnc
    $20.00

    Bought 28.571426 Under 2.5 for Lloyd Harris vs. Alex Bolt: Total Sets O/U 2.5 at 0.7

  • 08:49 PM
    ——
    $16.00

    Bought 100 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.16

  • 08:49 PM
    ——
    $20.00

    Bought 125 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.16

  • 07:57 PM
    ——
    $137.38

    Bought 808.117059 Alex Bolt for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.17

  • 07:26 PM
    KOKOVSAN
    $1.00

    Bought 1.176466 Lloyd Harris for Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt at 0.85

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DC1
0xdc81…e889
Event PnL
-$38.93
Volume
$915.26
Positions
Alex Bolt
PO2
Po1yamory
Event PnL
-$0.79
Volume
$509.59
Positions
Lloyd HarrisUnderUnder
383
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$1.75
Volume
$350.00
Positions
Lloyd Harris
5C4
0x5c54…f1d2
Event PnL
+$93.97
Volume
$280.52
Positions
Lloyd Harris
FL5
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$1.36
Volume
$271.13
Positions
Lloyd Harris
OM6
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
-$1.21
Volume
$242.94
Positions
Alex Bolt
977
0x97b4…b9b4
Event PnL
+$1.13
Volume
$225.00
Positions
Alex Bolt
HA8
Haradwaith
Event PnL
+$0.69
Volume
$138.88
Positions
Lloyd Harris

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Jingshan: Lloyd Harris vs Alex Bolt"?

As of the latest update, Alex Bolt leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,050% win probability, followed by Lloyd Harris at 4,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $172.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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