US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo

$60.2K Vol
Sep 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Alejandro Tabilo 58.5%
Yannick Hanfmann 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,750% chance of winning. US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 38.5 follows in second place at 5,500%, while Completed Match sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $60.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 (6,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $88 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 38.5 (5,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 38.5 maintains a 5,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,500¢.
  • Completed Match (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Completed Match, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 36.5 (5,000%), and US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 Winner (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.56750.0%$886750¢-6650¢
2US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 38.55500.0%$875500¢-5400¢
3Completed Match5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
4US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 36.55000.0%$2.0K5000¢-4900¢
6US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 Winner5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 3 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 8.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 9.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 4 O/U 10.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 40.54800.0%$234800¢-4700¢
18US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
19US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-2.54750.0%$44750¢-4650¢
20US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
21US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo4400.0%$55.6K4400¢-4300¢
22US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 3.54300.0%$1864300¢-4200¢
23US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.54000.0%$1444000¢-3900¢
24US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
25US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-2.53400.0%$13400¢-3300¢
26US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 4.53050.0%$2.0K3050¢-2950¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Alejandro Tabilo in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Alejandro Tabilo.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Yannick Hanfmann.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 31, 2026

  • 05:52 AM
    0X0x8C996043E75D3cCd7A59a7072Ef832AC1A67ebdc-1779774789228
    $12.04

    Bought 28 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 05:43 AM
    SLSL8888
    $10.00

    Bought 17.241378 Alejandro Tabilo for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.58

  • 05:15 AM
    0X0x4830bf39562B637C2eeE02cDD0E0eEC11105A59d-1738863608481
    $12.00

    Bought 27.906975 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 05:07 AM
    DEdegenfren
    $5,800.00

    Bought 10000 Alejandro Tabilo for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.58

  • 04:32 AM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $2.48

    Bought 4.133332 Hanfmann for Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5) at 0.6

  • 01:30 AM
    SOsomeweirdguesser
    $50.00

    Bought 86.206895 Alejandro Tabilo for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.58

  • 12:22 AM
    NInigiri99
    $37.84

    Bought 88 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.15

    Bought 5 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    NInigiri99
    $430.00

    Bought 1000 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.15

    Bought 5 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.15

    Bought 5 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

  • 12:22 AM
    NInigiri99
    $557.28

    Bought 1296 Yannick Hanfmann for US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo at 0.43

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DE1
degenfren
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$25.73
Volume
$5,145.58
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
ON3
one8tyfive
Event PnL
-$23.24
Volume
$4,647.00
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
JA4
JAMJAMJAM4
Event PnL
-$52.52
Volume
$3,504.54
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
FA5
fastball67
Event PnL
+$16.84
Volume
$3,366.96
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
RO6
roldy
Event PnL
-$74.99
Volume
$2,999.97
Positions
Alejandro Tabilo
NI7
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$13.96
Volume
$2,792.00
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
IM8
imumoccupancy
Event PnL
+$3.24
Volume
$2,199.95
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo"?

As of the latest update, US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,750% win probability, followed by US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 38.5 at 5,500% and Completed Match at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $60.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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