
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5 sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $155.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $328.4K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5 (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak | 9995.0% | $328.4K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Completed Match | 9995.0% | $24 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5 | 5.0% | $1.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Kamil Majchrzak in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Kamil Majchrzak.
This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Yannick Hanfmann.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 7, 2026
- 12:32 AMSUsuperlarry$50.00
Bought 79.365078 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63
Oct 6, 2026
- 11:06 PMNEneutralwave23$4.66
Bought 7.396824 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63
- 11:03 PMPMpmhkbot$2.00
Bought 5.263158 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.38
- 11:03 PMNEneutralwave23$46.62
Bought 74 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63
- 10:28 PMSTStupidGamble$31.50
Bought 50 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63
- 10:23 PMGRGreenCrow$19.00
Bought 50 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.38
- 10:01 PM——$1.00
Bought 1.587302 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63
- 09:59 PMNInigiri99$156.51
Bought 423 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37
- 09:59 PMLILilybaeum$37.00
Bought 100 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37
- 09:59 PMNInigiri99$7.77
Bought 21 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37
- 09:59 PMNInigiri99$128.02
Bought 346 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37
- 09:59 PMNInigiri99$29.60
Bought 80 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak"?
As of the latest update, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5 at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $155.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
