Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak

$155.8K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Yannick Hanfmann 100.0%
Kamil Majchrzak 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5 sits in third with 5%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $155.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $328.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5 (5%): Sitting in third place with a 5% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak9995.0%$328.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$249995¢-9895¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.55.0%$1.1K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Kamil Majchrzak in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Kamil Majchrzak.

This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrzak' if Kamil Majchrzak advances against Yannick Hanfmann.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 7, 2026

  • 12:32 AM
    SUsuperlarry
    $50.00

    Bought 79.365078 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63

Oct 6, 2026

  • 11:06 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $4.66

    Bought 7.396824 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63

  • 11:03 PM
    PMpmhkbot
    $2.00

    Bought 5.263158 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.38

  • 11:03 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $46.62

    Bought 74 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63

  • 10:28 PM
    STStupidGamble
    $31.50

    Bought 50 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63

  • 10:23 PM
    GRGreenCrow
    $19.00

    Bought 50 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.38

  • 10:01 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Kamil Majchrzak for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.63

  • 09:59 PM
    NInigiri99
    $156.51

    Bought 423 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37

  • 09:59 PM
    LILilybaeum
    $37.00

    Bought 100 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37

  • 09:59 PM
    NInigiri99
    $7.77

    Bought 21 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37

  • 09:59 PM
    NInigiri99
    $128.02

    Bought 346 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37

  • 09:59 PM
    NInigiri99
    $29.60

    Bought 80 Yannick Hanfmann for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak at 0.37

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$41.38
Volume
$1,800.00
Positions
Yannick HanfmannUnder
CE2
0xCe3e…9747
Event PnL
-$29.57
Volume
$844.99
Positions
Kamil Majchrzak
383
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$8.41
Volume
$516.69
Positions
Kamil Majchrzak
TE4
testyeagles
Event PnL
-$0.19
Volume
$472.56
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
NE5
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$0.04
Volume
$422.79
Positions
Kamil Majchrzak
LI6
Lilybaeum
Event PnL
-$0.09
Volume
$406.18
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
1B7
0x1ba7…67a1
Event PnL
+$0.90
Volume
$398.06
Positions
Kamil Majchrzak
KO8
kokanelo
Event PnL
+$1.98
Volume
$396.83
Positions
Kamil Majchrzak

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak"?

As of the latest update, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yannick Hanfmann vs Kamil Majchrzak Game Spread +/-1.5 at 5%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $155.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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