China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac

$178.8K Vol
Oct 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tomas Machac 84.0%
Yannick Hanfmann 16.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Completed Match is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,400% chance of winning. China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 5,000%, while China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $178.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Completed Match (5,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Completed Match is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $10.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5 maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%), China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 10.5 (5,000%), and China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Completed Match5400.0%$10.6K5400¢-5300¢
2China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%$1605000¢-4900¢
3China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 21.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 22.55000.0%$2805000¢-4900¢
8China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Match O/U 23.55000.0%$65000¢-4900¢
9China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac1350.0%$166.3K1350¢-1250¢
11China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 Winner1200.0%$61200¢-1100¢
12China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set Handicap +/-1.55.0%$1.0K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yannick Hanfmann and Tomas Machac in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Yannick Hanfmann' if Yannick Hanfmann advances against Tomas Machac.

This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Yannick Hanfmann.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GC1
GC-P
Event PnL
-$5.44
Volume
$1,651.44
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
322
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$19.84
Volume
$1,239.80
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
NO3
Notradecopy
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$999.98
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
GA4
GamblingAddict12345
Event PnL
-$4.54
Volume
$909.07
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
NO5
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$8.74
Volume
$877.79
Positions
Tomas Machac
AL6
alexustiugov
Event PnL
-$32.24
Volume
$766.53
Positions
Yannick Hanfmann
DI7
dinimami
Event PnL
-$3.80
Volume
$760.00
Positions
Tomas Machac
UP8
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$23.04
Volume
$744.18
Positions
Tomas Machac

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac"?

As of the latest update, Completed Match leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,400% win probability, followed by China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 5,000% and China Open, Qualification: Yannick Hanfmann vs Tomas Machac Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $178.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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