Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck

$111.6K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Hugo Grenier 98.0%
Carl Overbeck 1.9%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,805% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,000%, while Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $111.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck (9,805%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,805¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $112.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (5,000%), Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 O/U 8.5 (5,000%), and Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 O/U 9.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 O/U 10.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck9805.0%$112.0K9805¢-9705¢
2Completed Match5000.0%$1205000¢-4900¢
3Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Total Sets: O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 O/U 8.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 O/U 9.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 O/U 10.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Match O/U 21.55000.0%$215000¢-4900¢
9Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Match O/U 22.55000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
10Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Match O/U 23.55000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
11Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Game Spread +/-1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Grenier and Carl Overbeck in the Porto 2, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Hugo Grenier' if Hugo Grenier advances against Carl Overbeck.

This market will resolve to 'Carl Overbeck' if Carl Overbeck advances against Hugo Grenier.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 10:12 AM
    DVdv-pm
    $190.23

    Bought 373 Hugo Grenier for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.51

  • 09:56 AM
    RARangerrick42
    $9.50

    Bought 19 Carl Overbeck for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.5

  • 09:32 AM
    MRMrBlue9
    $29.85

    Bought 58.529412 Hugo Grenier for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.51

  • 09:08 AM
    LULuckdawg
    $25.00

    Bought 50 Carl Overbeck for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.5

  • 08:15 AM
    FAFastsint
    $10.05

    Bought 13.767122 Hugo Grenier for Set Handicap: Carl Overbeck (-1.5) vs Hugo Grenier (+1.5) at 0.73

  • 07:13 AM
    MAMaoyidong
    $3.00

    Bought 6 Carl Overbeck for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.5

  • 07:12 AM
    FOfoyd
    $6.00

    Bought 12 Carl Overbeck for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.5

  • 07:12 AM
    TEtestoooorr
    $6.00

    Bought 12 Carl Overbeck for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.5

  • 07:11 AM
    TEtestoooorr
    $6.00

    Bought 11.764706 Hugo Grenier for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.51

  • 07:11 AM
    HEheyheyhey1
    $1.00

    Bought 2 Carl Overbeck for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.5

  • 07:11 AM
    ASaskilika
    $7,000.00

    Bought 14000 Carl Overbeck for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.5

  • 06:40 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $37.13

    Bought 79 Carl Overbeck for Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck at 0.47

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LA1
laIaIalala
Event PnL
-$7,531.35
Volume
$37,822.63
Positions
Carl Overbeck
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$3,011.78
Volume
$17,105.01
Positions
Hugo GrenierUnderOver+1
AS3
askilika
Event PnL
-$56.03
Volume
$14,000.00
Positions
Carl Overbeck
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$55.41
Volume
$11,081.93
Positions
Hugo Grenier
RN5
RN1
Event PnL
+$1,447.35
Volume
$5,990.00
Positions
Hugo Grenier
UP6
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$644.79
Volume
$4,391.66
Positions
Hugo Grenier
YO7
yohwowTheMagiccc
Event PnL
-$103.19
Volume
$4,142.55
Positions
Carl Overbeck
0B8
0x0BE5…7041
Event PnL
-$112.50
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
Carl Overbeck

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck"?

As of the latest update, Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,805% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,000% and Porto 2: Hugo Grenier vs Carl Overbeck Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $111.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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