Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren

$345 Vol
Nov 21, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
August Holmgren 53.5%
Sebastian Gorzny 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,550% chance of winning. Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.5 follows in second place at 5,250%, while Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $345, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 (5,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.5 (5,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.5 maintains a 5,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,250¢.
  • Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 23.5 (4,800%), Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner (4,700%), and Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren (4,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Game Spread +/-0.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.55550.0%—5550¢-5450¢
2Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.55250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
3Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 23.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
5Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 1 Winner4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
6Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren4650.0%$3454650¢-4550¢
7Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Game Spread +/-0.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
8Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Total Sets: O/U 2.54100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
9Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set Handicap +/-1.53200.0%—3200¢-3100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and August Holmgren in the Brisbane 3, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against August Holmgren.

This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Sebastian Gorzny.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

991
0x99F0…6382
Event PnL
+$1.08
Volume
$215.99
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny
HH2
hhhizli
Event PnL
-$0.93
Volume
$185.19
Positions
August Holmgren
EF3
eFMBS
Event PnL
+$0.05
Volume
$143.76
Positions
August Holmgren
CL4
clownly
Event PnL
+$0.43
Volume
$85.15
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny
XB5
xbqzgkvmnm
Event PnL
-$0.47
Volume
$31.17
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny
RA6
RadioFreeZerg
Event PnL
-$0.05
Volume
$9.97
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny
TJ7
tjab0n
Event PnL
-$0.04
Volume
$9.01
Positions
August Holmgren
YI8
yifen9
Event PnL
-$0.03
Volume
$4.99
Positions
Sebastian Gorzny

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren"?

As of the latest update, Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 22.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,550% win probability, followed by Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Match O/U 21.5 at 5,250% and Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren Set 2 Winner at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $345, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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