Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin

$114.5K Vol
Nov 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Michael Geerts 94.5%
Juan Martin 5.6%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,550% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 5,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $114.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin (9,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $114.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (5,500%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 5,500% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,500¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin9550.0%$114.4K9550¢-9450¢
2Completed Match5500.0%$1205500¢-5400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Geerts and Juan Martin in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Michael Geerts' if Michael Geerts advances against Juan Martin.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Martin' if Juan Martin advances against Michael Geerts.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 9, 2026

  • 11:26 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $46.53

    Bought 132.942858 Juan Martin for Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin at 0.35

  • 08:48 PM
    WFwfewfew2b2
    $16.40

    Bought 20 No for Hersonissos 3: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin at 0.82

Nov 8, 2026

  • 11:13 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $4.00

    Sold 40 No for Hersonissos 3: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin at 0.1

  • 11:10 AM
    DFdfsdfsdfB2
    $37.20

    Bought 40 No for Hersonissos 3: Completed Match: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin at 0.93

  • 05:14 AM
    KOkopsyaev
    $6.95

    Bought 10.37 Michael Geerts for Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin at 0.67

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

LI1
LightParadox
Event PnL
-$326.05
Volume
$2,749.37
Positions
Juan Martin
TH2
thirdt1me
Event PnL
+$490.92
Volume
$2,471.78
Positions
Michael Geerts
CA3
CandleHammerDrums
Event PnL
+$360.88
Volume
$2,114.63
Positions
Michael Geerts
CR4
crmannetje
Event PnL
-$136.01
Volume
$2,092.55
Positions
Juan Martin
MN5
mntsdxs
Event PnL
-$545.26
Volume
$2,046.50
Positions
Juan Martin
LI6
Limousin
Event PnL
-$568.26
Volume
$2,031.51
Positions
Juan Martin
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$416.11
Volume
$1,881.36
Positions
Juan Martin
BU8
burmaldakens
Event PnL
+$465.48
Volume
$1,749.98
Positions
Michael Geerts

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin"?

As of the latest update, Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,550% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 5,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $114.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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