Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria

$273.2K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Arthur Gea 97.3%
Jaime Faria 2.8%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Completed Match follows in second place at 9,995%, while Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 22.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $273.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $300.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Completed Match (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Completed Match maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 22.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 22.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.5 (9,995%), Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 21.5 (9,955%), and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Game Spread +/-1.5 (9,950%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria9995.0%$300.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Completed Match9995.0%$3.0K9995¢-9895¢
3Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 22.59995.0%$189995¢-9895¢
4Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 23.59995.0%$269995¢-9895¢
5Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 21.59955.0%$8139955¢-9855¢
6Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Game Spread +/-1.59950.0%$149950¢-9850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jaime Faria in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Arthur Gea' if Arthur Gea advances against Jaime Faria.

This market will resolve to 'Jaime Faria' if Jaime Faria advances against Arthur Gea.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 7, 2026

  • 12:49 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $605.69

    Bought 946.390625 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

  • 12:49 AM
    PIpirate06
    $9.73

    Bought 26.31 Jaime Faria for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.37

  • 12:49 AM
    BRbrownworkgloves
    $500.00

    Bought 781.25 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

  • 12:46 AM
    STStockxlockin
    $25.00

    Bought 39.0625 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

  • 12:45 AM
    0X0x62017Eb6f53F36ee542446316aFDF76e12Ed622c-1776130203489
    $45.00

    Bought 70.3125 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

  • 12:32 AM
    ——
    $48.63

    Bought 75.984375 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

  • 12:32 AM
    SUsuperlarry
    $50.00

    Bought 80.64516 Over for Gea vs. Faria: Match O/U 21.5 at 0.62

Oct 6, 2026

  • 11:35 PM
    0X0x0A06Dc00036FDc39E09d69735a049B4165EeF003-1755645583301
    $6.00

    Bought 9.375 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

  • 11:35 PM
    0X0x0A06Dc00036FDc39E09d69735a049B4165EeF003-1755645583301
    $100.00

    Bought 156.25 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

  • 11:13 PM
    GAgaolou
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

  • 11:05 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

  • 10:47 PM
    FEferrariChampions2026
    $1,742.62

    Bought 2722.84375 Arthur Gea for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria at 0.64

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$219.52
Volume
$27,980.76
Positions
Arthur Gea
FA2
fastball67
Event PnL
+$8.01
Volume
$19,999.96
Positions
Jaime Faria
XA3
xabidaking
Event PnL
-$38.97
Volume
$7,796.51
Positions
Jaime Faria
0X4
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$22.12
Volume
$4,423.16
Positions
Arthur Gea
ST5
Stickman22
Event PnL
+$20.00
Volume
$3,999.95
Positions
Jaime Faria
PL6
pltrkr111
Event PnL
+$15.87
Volume
$3,174.60
Positions
Arthur Gea
327
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
+$12.55
Volume
$2,510.05
Positions
Jaime Faria
DV8
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$9.04
Volume
$1,808.00
Positions
Arthur Gea

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria"?

As of the latest update, Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Completed Match at 9,995% and Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria Match O/U 22.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $273.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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